Eredivisie title odds after Matchday 10
After the games up to 25 October 2026
PSV lead the title race at 46%. Willem II 1–6 Cambuur moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Down
PSV48%46%−2 pts
AZ Alkmaar2%1%−1 pt
FC Twente won 2–0 at AZ Alkmaar, and their title chances rose from 2% to 4%. PSV drew 1–1 with Feyenoord at home, and their title chances fell from 48% to 46%. PSV lead the title race at 46%.
Champions League
Up
FC Twente8%13%+5 pts
Heerenveen<1%1%+1 pt
Down
- AZ Alkmaar8%4%−4 pts
- PSV79%78%−1 pt
Feyenoord73%72%−1 pt
FC Twente won 2–0 at AZ Alkmaar, and their Champions League chances rose from 8% to 13%. AZ Alkmaar lost 2–0 to FC Twente at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 8% to 4%.
Relegation
Down
Cambuur31%14%−17 pts
Go Ahead Eagles1%<1%−1 pt
Willem II lost 6–1 to Cambuur at home, and their relegation chances rose from 93% to 98%. Cambuur won 6–1 at Willem II, and their relegation chances fell from 31% to 14%.
Changes since Matchday 9, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Willem II 1–6 Cambuur moved the odds the most. Willem II lost 6–1 to Cambuur at home, and their relegation chances rose from 93% to 98%. Cambuur won 6–1 at Willem II, and their relegation chances fell from 31% to 14%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- PSV
- Feyenoord
- Ajax
- FC Twente
- AZ Alkmaar
Show as a table
| Round | PSV | Feyenoord | Ajax | FC Twente | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 43% | 18% | 17% | 3% | 4% |
| 2 | 51% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 8% |
| 3 | 66% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 9% |
| 4 | 75% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 9% |
| 5 | 83% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 9% |
| 6 | 84% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 4% |
| 7 | 63% | 19% | 6% | 4% | 6% |
| 8 | 67% | 25% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| 9 | 48% | 39% | 10% | 2% | 2% |
| 10 | 46% | 39% | 11% | 4% | 1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FeyenoordFeyenoord | 24 | 39%±0 | 72%−1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  AjaxAjax | 21 | 11%+1 pt | 31%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 3 | PSVPSV Eindhoven | 20 | 46%−2 pts | 78%−1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 4 | FC TwenteFC Twente | 20 | 4%+2 pts | 13%+5 pts | 0%±0 |
| 5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar | 20 | 1%−1 pt | 4%−4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 6 |  FortunaFortuna Sittard | 18 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 7 | HeerenveenHeerenveen | 15 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 8 |  GroningenGroningen | 15 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 9 | Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead Eagles | 14 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt |
| 10 | CambuurCambuur | 12 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 14%−17 pts |
| 11 |  FC UtrechtFC Utrecht | 12 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt |
| 12 |  NECNEC Nijmegen | 11 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 13 |  ExcelsiorExcelsior | 11 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 3%+2 pts |
| 14 |  SpartaSparta Rotterdam | 9 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 11%+1 pt |
| 15 |  PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 27%±0 |
| 16 |  TelstarTelstar | 6 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 13%+5 pts |
| 17 |  ADOADO Den Haag | 6 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 32%+5 pts |
| 18 |  Willem IIWillem II | 2 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 98%+5 pts |
Chances after Matchday 10, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 9 below each.