Serie A title odds after Matchday 10

After the games up to 2 November 2026Latest

Roma lead the title race at 39%. Milan 3–1 Inter moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Roma26%39%+13 pts
Lazio8%13%+5 pts
Como9%11%+2 pts

Down

Inter55%35%−20 pts

Roma won 5–2 at Udinese, and their title chances rose from 26% to 39%. Inter lost 3–1 at Milan, and their title chances fell from 55% to 35%. Roma lead the title race at 39%.

Champions League

Milan23%37%+14 pts
Juventus5%10%+5 pts
Lazio77%78%+1 pt

Down

Napoli20%8%−12 pts
Inter98%93%−5 pts
Como80%77%−3 pts

Milan beat Inter 3–1 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 23% to 37%. Napoli lost 2–0 at Juventus, and their Champions League chances fell from 20% to 8%.

Relegation

Lecce39%51%+12 pts
Monza38%50%+12 pts
Udinese32%40%+8 pts

Down

Parma66%35%−31 pts
Fiorentina25%12%−13 pts
Genoa6%3%−3 pts

Lecce lost 2–1 to Genoa at home, and their relegation chances rose from 39% to 51%. Parma won 3–0 at Atalanta, and their relegation chances fell from 66% to 35%.

Changes since Matchday 9, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

AC Milan

3–1

Inter

Milan 3–1 Inter moved the odds the most. Milan beat Inter 3–1 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 23% to 37%. Inter lost 3–1 at Milan, and their title chances fell from 55% to 35%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Roma
Inter
Lazio
Como
Milan

Show as a table

Round	Roma	Inter	Lazio	Como	Milan
1	22%	47%	<1%	10%	3%
2	35%	40%	<1%	9%	2%
3	37%	40%	<1%	15%	2%
4	42%	41%	<1%	14%	1%
5	37%	50%	1%	5%	3%
6	31%	57%	1%	5%	2%
7	33%	57%	4%	4%	2%
8	27%	56%	5%	7%	4%
9	26%	55%	8%	9%	1%
10	39%	35%	13%	11%	2%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	Champions LeagueChampions League	RelegationRelegation
1	LazioLazio	28	13%+5 pts	78%+1 pt	0%±0
2	InterInter	25	35%−20 pts	93%−5 pts	0%±0
3	RomaRoma	24	39%+13 pts	94%±0	0%±0
4	ComoComo	23	11%+2 pts	77%−3 pts	0%±0
5	MilanAC Milan	21	2%+1 pt	37%+14 pts	0%±0
6	FrosinoneFrosinone	20	<1%±0	3%+1 pt	<1%±0
7	JuventusJuventus	17	<1%±0	10%+5 pts	0%±0
8	NapoliNapoli	14	<1%±0	8%−12 pts	0%±0
9	BolognaBologna	14	0%±0	1%±0	<1%±0
10	TorinoTorino	13	0%±0	<1%±0	3%+2 pts
11	GenoaGenoa	13	0%±0	<1%±0	3%−3 pts
12	CagliariCagliari	13	0%±0	<1%±0	5%+1 pt
13	AtalantaAtalanta	11	0%±0	<1%−1 pt	2%+2 pts
14	LecceLecce	9	0%±0	0%±0	51%+12 pts
15	FiorentinaFiorentina	8	0%±0	0%±0	12%−13 pts
16	ParmaParma	8	0%±0	0%±0	35%−31 pts
17	SassuoloSassuolo	8	0%±0	<1%±0	14%+8 pts
18	MonzaMonza	7	0%±0	0%±0	50%+12 pts
19	UdineseUdinese	5	0%±0	0%±0	40%+8 pts
20	VeneziaVenezia	3	0%±0	0%±0	85%+2 pts

Chances after Matchday 10, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 9 below each.

Round	Roma	Inter	Lazio	Como	Milan
1	22%	47%	<1%	10%	3%
2	35%	40%	<1%	9%	2%
3	37%	40%	<1%	15%	2%
4	42%	41%	<1%	14%	1%
5	37%	50%	1%	5%	3%
6	31%	57%	1%	5%	2%
7	33%	57%	4%	4%	2%
8	27%	56%	5%	7%	4%
9	26%	55%	8%	9%	1%
10	39%	35%	13%	11%	2%

Round	Roma	Inter	Lazio	Como	Milan
1	22%	47%	<1%	10%	3%
2	35%	40%	<1%	9%	2%
3	37%	40%	<1%	15%	2%
4	42%	41%	<1%	14%	1%
5	37%	50%	1%	5%	3%
6	31%	57%	1%	5%	2%
7	33%	57%	4%	4%	2%
8	27%	56%	5%	7%	4%
9	26%	55%	8%	9%	1%
10	39%	35%	13%	11%	2%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Champions League

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Roma	Inter	Lazio	Como	Milan
1	22%	47%	<1%	10%	3%
2	35%	40%	<1%	9%	2%
3	37%	40%	<1%	15%	2%
4	42%	41%	<1%	14%	1%
5	37%	50%	1%	5%	3%
6	31%	57%	1%	5%	2%
7	33%	57%	4%	4%	2%
8	27%	56%	5%	7%	4%
9	26%	55%	8%	9%	1%
10	39%	35%	13%	11%	2%