Serie A title odds after Matchday 3

After the games up to 7 September 2026

Inter lead the title race at 40%. Genoa 1–4 Como moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Como9%15%+6 pts
Roma35%37%+2 pts

Down

Juventus9%5%−4 pts
Atalanta2%1%−1 pt

Como won 4–1 at Genoa, and their title chances rose from 9% to 15%. Juventus drew 1–1 with Milan at home, and their title chances fell from 9% to 5%. Inter lead the title race at 40%.

Champions League

Como63%79%+16 pts
Lazio8%13%+5 pts
Roma89%92%+3 pts

Down

Juventus61%53%−8 pts
Atalanta26%18%−8 pts
Napoli25%18%−7 pts

Como won 4–1 at Genoa, and their Champions League chances rose from 63% to 79%. Juventus drew 1–1 with Milan at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 61% to 53%.

Relegation

Genoa23%32%+9 pts
Lecce26%34%+8 pts
Fiorentina46%51%+5 pts

Down

Torino23%11%−12 pts
Parma50%44%−6 pts
Frosinone8%4%−4 pts

Genoa lost 4–1 to Como at home, and their relegation chances rose from 23% to 32%. Torino won 2–1 at Fiorentina, and their relegation chances fell from 23% to 11%.

Changes since Matchday 2, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Genoa

1–4

Como

Genoa 1–4 Como moved the odds the most. Genoa lost 4–1 to Como at home, and their relegation chances rose from 23% to 32%. Como won 4–1 at Genoa, and their Champions League chances rose from 63% to 79%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Inter
Roma
Como
Juventus
Milan

Show as a table

Round	Inter	Roma	Como	Juventus	Milan
1	47%	22%	10%	9%	3%
2	40%	35%	9%	9%	2%
3	40%	37%	15%	5%	2%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	Champions LeagueChampions League	RelegationRelegation
1	RomaRoma	9	37%+2 pts	92%+3 pts	0%±0
2	InterInter	9	40%±0	93%+2 pts	0%±0
3	LazioLazio	9	<1%±0	13%+5 pts	<1%±0
4	MilanAC Milan	7	2%±0	30%−2 pts	0%±0
5	JuventusJuventus	7	5%−4 pts	53%−8 pts	0%±0
6	ComoComo	7	15%+6 pts	79%+16 pts	0%±0
7	FrosinoneFrosinone	6	0%±0	<1%±0	4%−4 pts
8	AtalantaAtalanta	6	1%−1 pt	18%−8 pts	<1%±0
9	CagliariCagliari	6	0%±0	1%+1 pt	2%−3 pts
10	SassuoloSassuolo	4	0%±0	1%±0	1%−1 pt
11	UdineseUdinese	4	<1%±0	1%−2 pts	1%±0
12	NapoliNapoli	3	1%±0	18%−7 pts	<1%±0
13	TorinoTorino	3	0%±0	<1%±0	11%−12 pts
14	LecceLecce	3	0%±0	0%±0	34%+8 pts
15	ParmaParma	1	0%±0	0%±0	44%−6 pts
16	MonzaMonza	1	0%±0	0%±0	48%+1 pt
17	BolognaBologna	1	0%±0	<1%±0	4%−1 pt
18	VeneziaVenezia	0	0%±0	0%±0	68%+2 pts
19	GenoaGenoa	0	0%±0	<1%±0	32%+9 pts
20	FiorentinaFiorentina	0	0%±0	<1%±0	51%+5 pts