Serie A title odds after Matchday 6
After the games up to 12 October 2026
Inter lead the title race at 57%. Genoa 2–1 Fiorentina moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Inter beat Parma 3–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 50% to 57%. Roma drew 0–0 at Como, and their title chances fell from 37% to 31%. Inter lead the title race at 57%.
Champions League
Napoli beat Frosinone 3–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 17% to 30%. Juventus drew 1–1 at Cagliari, and their Champions League chances fell from 53% to 43%.
Changes since Matchday 5, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Genoa 2–1 Fiorentina moved the odds the most. Genoa beat Fiorentina 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 50% to 33%. Fiorentina lost 2–1 at Genoa, and their relegation chances rose from 26% to 34%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Inter
- Roma
- Como
- Juventus
- Milan
Show as a table
| Round | Inter | Roma | Como | Juventus | Milan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47% | 22% | 10% | 9% | 3% |
| 2 | 40% | 35% | 9% | 9% | 2% |
| 3 | 40% | 37% | 15% | 5% | 2% |
| 4 | 41% | 42% | 14% | 1% | 1% |
| 5 | 50% | 37% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| 6 | 57% | 31% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  InterInter | 16 | 57%+7 pts | 97%+1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  LazioLazio | 16 | 1%±0 | 29%+7 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  RomaRoma | 14 | 31%−6 pts | 93%−1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 4 |  CagliariCagliari | 13 | <1%±0 | 4%−1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 5 |  MilanAC Milan | 12 | 2%−1 pt | 40%−10 pts | <1%±0 |
| 6 |  JuventusJuventus | 11 | 2%−2 pts | 43%−10 pts | 0%±0 |
| 7 |  ComoComo | 11 | 5%±0 | 57%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 8 |  NapoliNapoli | 10 | 1%+1 pt | 30%+13 pts | 0%±0 |
| 9 |  FrosinoneFrosinone | 10 | 0%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 2%+1 pt |
| 10 |  AtalantaAtalanta | 9 | <1%±0 | 5%+1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 11 |  SassuoloSassuolo | 8 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 1%±0 |
| 12 |  TorinoTorino | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 6%−9 pts |
| 13 |  LecceLecce | 6 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 41%+8 pts |
| 14 |  BolognaBologna | 5 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 3%−5 pts |
| 15 |  ParmaParma | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 38%+8 pts |
| 16 |  UdineseUdinese | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 5%+1 pt |
| 17 |  GenoaGenoa | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 33%−17 pts |
| 18 |  MonzaMonza | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 44%+3 pts |
| 19 |  FiorentinaFiorentina | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 34%+8 pts |
| 20 |  VeneziaVenezia | 0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 92%+2 pts |
Chances after Matchday 6, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 5 below each.