Serie A title odds after Matchday 8
After the games up to 25 October 2026
Inter lead the title race at 56%. Genoa 1–0 Venezia moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Como beat Sassuolo 2–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 4% to 7%. Roma drew 3–3 at Napoli, and their title chances fell from 33% to 27%. Inter lead the title race at 56%.
Champions League
Milan won 2–0 at Udinese, and their Champions League chances rose from 50% to 56%. Roma drew 3–3 at Napoli, and their Champions League chances fell from 95% to 91%.
Changes since Matchday 7, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Genoa 1–0 Venezia moved the odds the most. Genoa beat Venezia 1–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 41% to 26%. Venezia lost 1–0 at Genoa, and their relegation chances rose from 79% to 84%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Inter
- Roma
- Como
- Lazio
- Milan
Show as a table
| Round | Inter | Roma | Como | Lazio | Milan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47% | 22% | 10% | <1% | 3% |
| 2 | 40% | 35% | 9% | <1% | 2% |
| 3 | 40% | 37% | 15% | <1% | 2% |
| 4 | 41% | 42% | 14% | <1% | 1% |
| 5 | 50% | 37% | 5% | 1% | 3% |
| 6 | 57% | 31% | 5% | 1% | 2% |
| 7 | 57% | 33% | 4% | 4% | 2% |
| 8 | 56% | 27% | 7% | 5% | 4% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  InterInter | 22 | 56%−1 pt | 97%−1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  LazioLazio | 22 | 5%+1 pt | 58%−3 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  RomaRoma | 18 | 27%−6 pts | 91%−4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 |  MilanAC Milan | 18 | 4%+2 pts | 56%+6 pts | 0%±0 |
| 5 |  ComoComo | 17 | 7%+3 pts | 69%+4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 6 |  JuventusJuventus | 14 | 1%+1 pt | 16%+3 pts | 0%±0 |
| 7 |  FrosinoneFrosinone | 14 | 0%±0 | 1%±0 | 1%±0 |
| 8 |  TorinoTorino | 13 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt |
| 9 |  CagliariCagliari | 13 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 3%+2 pts |
| 10 |  NapoliNapoli | 11 | <1%±0 | 11%−2 pts | 0%±0 |
| 11 |  AtalantaAtalanta | 10 | 0%±0 | 1%−2 pts | <1%±0 |
| 12 |  LecceLecce | 9 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 23%+8 pts |
| 13 |  BolognaBologna | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 1%−5 pts |
| 14 |  SassuoloSassuolo | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 3%+1 pt |
| 15 |  MonzaMonza | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 27%+7 pts |
| 16 |  GenoaGenoa | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 26%−15 pts |
| 17 |  UdineseUdinese | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 28%+9 pts |
| 18 |  FiorentinaFiorentina | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 35%−9 pts |
| 19 |  ParmaParma | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 69%±0 |
| 20 |  VeneziaVenezia | 3 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 84%+5 pts |
Chances after Matchday 8, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 7 below each.