Serie A title odds after Matchday 7
After the games up to 19 October 2026
Inter lead the title race at 57%. Juventus 0–3 Lazio moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Lazio won 3–0 at Juventus, and their title chances rose from 1% to 4%. Juventus lost 3–0 to Lazio at home, and their title chances fell from 2% to <1%. Inter lead the title race at 57%.
Champions League
Lazio won 3–0 at Juventus, and their Champions League chances rose from 29% to 61%. Juventus lost 3–0 to Lazio at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 43% to 13%.
Changes since Matchday 6, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Juventus 0–3 Lazio moved the odds the most. Juventus lost 3–0 to Lazio at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 43% to 13%. Lazio won 3–0 at Juventus, and their Champions League chances rose from 29% to 61%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Inter
- Roma
- Como
- Lazio
- Milan
Show as a table
| Round | Inter | Roma | Como | Lazio | Milan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47% | 22% | 10% | <1% | 3% |
| 2 | 40% | 35% | 9% | <1% | 2% |
| 3 | 40% | 37% | 15% | <1% | 2% |
| 4 | 41% | 42% | 14% | <1% | 1% |
| 5 | 50% | 37% | 5% | 1% | 3% |
| 6 | 57% | 31% | 5% | 1% | 2% |
| 7 | 57% | 33% | 4% | 4% | 2% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  InterInter | 19 | 57%±0 | 98%+1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  LazioLazio | 19 | 4%+3 pts | 61%+32 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  RomaRoma | 17 | 33%+2 pts | 95%+2 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 |  MilanAC Milan | 15 | 2%±0 | 50%+10 pts | <1%±0 |
| 5 |  ComoComo | 14 | 4%−1 pt | 65%+8 pts | 0%±0 |
| 6 |  FrosinoneFrosinone | 13 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 1%−1 pt |
| 7 |  CagliariCagliari | 13 | 0%±0 | <1%−4 pts | 1%+1 pt |
| 8 |  JuventusJuventus | 11 | <1%−2 pts | 13%−30 pts | <1%±0 |
| 9 |  NapoliNapoli | 10 | <1%−1 pt | 13%−17 pts | <1%±0 |
| 10 |  TorinoTorino | 10 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 2%−4 pts |
| 11 |  AtalantaAtalanta | 9 | 0%±0 | 3%−2 pts | <1%±0 |
| 12 |  LecceLecce | 9 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 15%−26 pts |
| 13 |  SassuoloSassuolo | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 2%+1 pt |
| 14 |  MonzaMonza | 7 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 20%−24 pts |
| 15 |  BolognaBologna | 5 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 6%+3 pts |
| 16 |  ParmaParma | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 69%+31 pts |
| 17 |  GenoaGenoa | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 41%+8 pts |
| 18 |  UdineseUdinese | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 19%+14 pts |
| 19 |  FiorentinaFiorentina | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 44%+10 pts |
| 20 |  VeneziaVenezia | 3 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 79%−13 pts |
Chances after Matchday 7, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 6 below each.