Serie A title odds after Matchday 2
After the games up to 31 August 2026
Inter lead the title race at 40%. Fiorentina 0–3 Frosinone moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Roma won 4–0 at Lecce, and their title chances rose from 22% to 35%. Inter won 1–0 at Cagliari, and their title chances fell from 47% to 40%. Inter lead the title race at 40%.
Champions League
Roma won 4–0 at Lecce, and their Champions League chances rose from 77% to 89%. Napoli lost 2–1 to Como at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 52% to 25%.
Relegation
Up
Fiorentina25%46%+21 pts
Lecce11%26%+15 pts
Parma41%50%+9 pts
Fiorentina lost 3–0 to Frosinone at home, and their relegation chances rose from 25% to 46%. Frosinone won 3–0 at Fiorentina, and their relegation chances fell from 48% to 8%.
Changes since Matchday 1, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Fiorentina 0–3 Frosinone moved the odds the most. Fiorentina lost 3–0 to Frosinone at home, and their relegation chances rose from 25% to 46%. Frosinone won 3–0 at Fiorentina, and their relegation chances fell from 48% to 8%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Inter
- Roma
- Como
- Juventus
- Milan
Show as a table
| Round | Inter | Roma | Como | Juventus | Milan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 47% | 22% | 10% | 9% | 3% |
| 2 | 40% | 35% | 9% | 9% | 2% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 35%+13 pts | 89%+12 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 2 | 6 | 40%−7 pts | 91%±0 | 0%±0 | |
| 3 | 6 | 2%−1 pt | 32%+2 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 4 | 6 | 9%±0 | 61%+7 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 5 | 6 | 2%±0 | 26%+2 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 6 | 6 | <1%±0 | 8%±0 | <1%±0 | |
| 7 | 4 | 0%±0 | 3%+1 pt | 1%−2 pts | |
| 8 | 4 | 9%−1 pt | 63%+4 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 9 | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 8%−40 pts | |
| 10 | 3 | 1%−7 pts | 25%−27 pts | <1%±0 | |
| 11 | 3 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 2%−4 pts | |
| 12 | 3 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 5%±0 | |
| 13 | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 26%+15 pts | |
| 14 | 0 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 23%−1 pt | |
| 15 | 0 | 0%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 5%±0 | |
| 16 | 0 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 23%+3 pts | |
| 17 | 0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 50%+9 pts | |
| 18 | 0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 47%−4 pts | |
| 19 | 0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 66%+4 pts | |
| 20 | 0 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 46%+21 pts |
Chances after Matchday 2, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 1 below each.