Saudi Pro League title odds after Matchday 12
After the games up to 31 October 2026Latest
Al Hilal lead the title race at 75%. Al Shabab 6–1 Al Ahli moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Al Qadsiah7%12%+5 pts
Down
Al Ahli3%<1%−3 pts
Al Nassr15%13%−2 pts
Al Ittihad1%<1%−1 pt
Al Qadsiah won 6–0 at Al Riyadh, and their title chances rose from 7% to 12%. Al Ahli lost 6–1 at Al Shabab, and their title chances fell from 3% to <1%. Al Hilal lead the title race at 75%.
AFC Champions League Elite
Up
Neom SC13%24%+11 pts
Al Shabab<1%2%+2 pts- Al Qadsiah99%>99%+1 pt
Down
- Al Ahli97%89%−8 pts
- Al Ittihad87%81%−6 pts
Neom SC won 2–1 at Al Diriyah, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances rose from 13% to 24%. Al Ahli lost 6–1 at Al Shabab, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances fell from 97% to 89%.
Relegation
Down
Al Fayha28%12%−16 pts
Al Taawoun49%45%−4 pts
Al Khaleej6%2%−4 pts
Al Riyadh lost 6–0 to Al Qadsiah at home, and their relegation chances rose from 19% to 29%. Al Fayha beat Al Faisaly 4–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 28% to 12%.
Changes since Matchday 11, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Al Shabab 6–1 Al Ahli moved the odds the most. Al Shabab beat Al Ahli 6–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 5% to 1%. Al Ahli lost 6–1 at Al Shabab, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances fell from 97% to 89%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Al Hilal
- Al Nassr
- Al Qadsiah
- Al Ahli
- Al Ittihad
Show as a table
| Round | Al Hilal | Al Nassr | Al Qadsiah | Al Ahli | Al Ittihad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22% | 45% | 17% | 16% | <1% |
| 2 | 26% | 52% | 4% | 19% | <1% |
| 3 | 26% | 49% | 7% | 19% | <1% |
| 4 | 39% | 50% | 7% | 4% | <1% |
| 5 | 70% | 20% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| 6 | 48% | 28% | 22% | 3% | <1% |
| 7 | 75% | 12% | 10% | 2% | <1% |
| 8 | 69% | 13% | 15% | 3% | <1% |
| 9 | 67% | 13% | 17% | 3% | <1% |
| 10 | 66% | 16% | 15% | 3% | <1% |
| 11 | 75% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| 12 | 75% | 13% | 12% | <1% | <1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | ACL EliteAFC Champions League Elite | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al HilalAl Hilal | 30 | 75%±0 | 100%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 2 | Al QadsiahAl Qadsiah | 28 | 12%+5 pts | >99%+1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 3 | Al NassrAl Nassr | 28 | 13%−2 pts | >99%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 4 | Al IttihadAl Ittihad | 24 | <1%−1 pt | 81%−6 pts | 0%±0 |
| 5 | Neom SCNeom SC | 22 | 0%±0 | 24%+11 pts | 0%±0 |
| 6 | Al AhliAl Ahli | 21 | <1%−3 pts | 89%−8 pts | 0%±0 |
| 7 |  Al EttifaqAl Ettifaq | 19 | 0%±0 | 3%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 8 |  Al DiriyahAl Diriyah | 15 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 5%+2 pts |
| 9 | Al KhaleejAl Khaleej | 15 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 2%−4 pts |
| 10 | Al ShababAl Shabab | 14 | 0%±0 | 2%+2 pts | 1%−4 pts |
| 11 |  Al KholoodAl Kholood | 12 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 11%−1 pt |
| 12 |  Al RiyadhAl Riyadh | 12 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 29%+10 pts |
| 13 | Al FayhaAl Fayha | 11 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 12%−16 pts |
| 14 |  Al HazemAl Hazem | 10 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 24%+8 pts |
| 15 |  Al FaisalyAl Faisaly | 10 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 30%±0 |
| 16 |  Al FatehAl Fateh | 6 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 62%+2 pts |
| 17 | Al TaawounAl Taawoun | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 45%−4 pts |
| 18 |  AbhaAbha | 3 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 79%+6 pts |
Chances after Matchday 12, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 11 below each.