Saudi Pro League title odds after Matchday 5
After the games up to 5 September 2026
Al Hilal lead the title race at 70%. Al Ittihad 2–1 Al Nassr moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Al Hilal39%70%+31 pts
Al Qadsiah7%8%+1 pt
Al Hilal's title chances rose from 39% to 70%. Al Nassr lost 2–1 at Al Ittihad, and their title chances fell from 50% to 20%. Al Hilal lead the title race at 70%.
AFC Champions League Elite
Up
Al Ittihad47%64%+17 pts
Neom SC8%13%+5 pts- Al Qadsiah98%99%+1 pt
Down
Al Taawoun12%6%−6 pts
Al Kholood15%10%−5 pts
Al Diriyah7%3%−4 pts
Al Ittihad beat Al Nassr 2–1 at home, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances rose from 47% to 64%. Al Taawoun drew 0–0 with Al Fateh at home, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances fell from 12% to 6%.
Relegation
Up
Al Khaleej18%28%+10 pts
Al Riyadh44%53%+9 pts
Abha69%73%+4 pts
Al Khaleej lost 3–0 at Neom SC, and their relegation chances rose from 18% to 28%. Al Fateh drew 0–0 at Al Taawoun, and their relegation chances fell from 34% to 28%.
Changes since Matchday 4, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Al Ittihad 2–1 Al Nassr moved the odds the most. Al Ittihad beat Al Nassr 2–1 at home, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances rose from 47% to 64%. Al Nassr lost 2–1 at Al Ittihad, and their title chances fell from 50% to 20%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Al Hilal
- Al Nassr
- Al Qadsiah
- Al Ahli
- Al Ittihad
Show as a table
| Round | Al Hilal | Al Nassr | Al Qadsiah | Al Ahli | Al Ittihad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22% | 45% | 17% | 16% | <1% |
| 2 | 26% | 52% | 4% | 19% | <1% |
| 3 | 26% | 49% | 7% | 19% | <1% |
| 4 | 39% | 50% | 7% | 4% | <1% |
| 5 | 70% | 20% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | ACL EliteAFC Champions League Elite | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al HilalAl Hilal | 15 | 70%+31 pts | >99%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  Al NassrAl Nassr | 12 | 20%−30 pts | >99%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 3 | Al QadsiahAl Qadsiah | 12 | 8%+1 pt | 99%+1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 4 | Al IttihadAl Ittihad | 11 | <1%±0 | 64%+17 pts | 0%±0 |
| 5 |  Al AhliAl Ahli | 9 | 2%−2 pts | 96%−1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 6 | Al KholoodAl Kholood | 9 | 0%±0 | 10%−5 pts | 1%−1 pt |
| 7 | Neom SCNeom SC | 9 | <1%±0 | 13%+5 pts | 1%−3 pts |
| 8 |  Al EttifaqAl Ettifaq | 9 | 0%±0 | 8%−1 pt | 2%−2 pts |
| 9 | Al DiriyahAl Diriyah | 7 | 0%±0 | 3%−4 pts | 5%±0 |
| 10 |  Al HazemAl Hazem | 5 | 0%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 23%−5 pts |
| 11 |  Al FayhaAl Fayha | 5 | 0%±0 | 1%−1 pt | 13%−5 pts |
| 12 | Al RiyadhAl Riyadh | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 53%+9 pts |
| 13 | Al TaawounAl Taawoun | 3 | 0%±0 | 6%−6 pts | 3%±0 |
| 14 |  Al ShababAl Shabab | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 22%+1 pt |
| 15 |  Al FatehAl Fateh | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 28%−6 pts |
| 16 | Al KhaleejAl Khaleej | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%−2 pts | 28%+10 pts |
| 17 |  Al FaisalyAl Faisaly | 2 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 48%−4 pts |
| 18 | AbhaAbha | 1 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 73%+4 pts |
Chances after Matchday 5, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 4 below each.