Saudi Pro League title odds after Matchday 10

After the games up to 20 October 2026

Al Hilal lead the title race at 66%. Al Ettifaq 1–4 Al Ittihad moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Al Nassr13%16%+3 pts

Down

Al Qadsiah17%15%−2 pts
Al Hilal67%66%−1 pt

Al Nassr beat Neom SC 1–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 13% to 16%. Al Qadsiah didn't play, and their title chances fell from 17% to 15%. Al Hilal lead the title race at 66%.

AFC Champions League Elite

Al Ittihad72%87%+15 pts
Al Nassr99%>99%+1 pt

Down

Neom SC21%12%−9 pts
Al Ettifaq8%2%−6 pts

Al Ittihad won 4–1 at Al Ettifaq, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances rose from 72% to 87%. Neom SC lost 1–0 at Al Nassr, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances fell from 21% to 12%.

Relegation

Abha64%65%+1 pt
Al Riyadh37%38%+1 pt
Al Shabab12%13%+1 pt

Down

Al Hazem19%17%−2 pts
Al Taawoun39%38%−1 pt

Abha didn't play, and their relegation chances rose from 64% to 65%. Al Hazem didn't play, and their relegation chances fell from 19% to 17%.

Changes since Matchday 9, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Al Ettifaq

1–4

Al Ittihad

Al Ettifaq 1–4 Al Ittihad moved the odds the most. Al Ettifaq lost 4–1 to Al Ittihad at home, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances fell from 8% to 2%. Al Ittihad won 4–1 at Al Ettifaq, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances rose from 72% to 87%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Al Hilal
Al Nassr
Al Qadsiah
Al Ahli
Al Ittihad

Show as a table

Round	Al Hilal	Al Nassr	Al Qadsiah	Al Ahli	Al Ittihad
1	22%	45%	17%	16%	<1%
2	26%	52%	4%	19%	<1%
3	26%	49%	7%	19%	<1%
4	39%	50%	7%	4%	<1%
5	70%	20%	8%	2%	<1%
6	48%	28%	22%	3%	<1%
7	75%	12%	10%	2%	<1%
8	69%	13%	15%	3%	<1%
9	67%	13%	17%	3%	<1%
10	66%	16%	15%	3%	<1%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	ACL EliteAFC Champions League Elite	RelegationRelegation
1	Al QadsiahAl Qadsiah	25	15%−2 pts	>99%±0	0%±0
2	Al HilalAl Hilal	24	66%−1 pt	>99%±0	0%±0
3	Al NassrAl Nassr	22	16%+3 pts	>99%+1 pt	0%±0
4	Al IttihadAl Ittihad	20	<1%±0	87%+15 pts	0%±0
5	Al AhliAl Ahli	18	3%±0	97%±0	0%±0
6	Neom SCNeom SC	16	0%±0	12%−9 pts	<1%±0
7	Al DiriyahAl Diriyah	15	0%±0	1%±0	2%±0
8	Al EttifaqAl Ettifaq	15	0%±0	2%−6 pts	1%+1 pt
9	Al KholoodAl Kholood	12	0%±0	<1%±0	7%±0
10	Al KhaleejAl Khaleej	12	0%±0	1%±0	5%±0
11	Al HazemAl Hazem	9	0%±0	<1%±0	17%−2 pts
12	Al RiyadhAl Riyadh	9	0%±0	<1%±0	38%+1 pt
13	Al ShababAl Shabab	8	0%±0	<1%±0	13%+1 pt
14	Al FaisalyAl Faisaly	7	0%±0	<1%±0	31%±0
15	Al FayhaAl Fayha	7	0%±0	<1%±0	31%±0
16	Al FatehAl Fateh	6	0%±0	0%±0	52%±0
17	Al TaawounAl Taawoun	4	0%±0	<1%±0	38%−1 pt
18	AbhaAbha	2	0%±0	0%±0	65%+1 pt

Chances after Matchday 10, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 9 below each.

Round	Al Hilal	Al Nassr	Al Qadsiah	Al Ahli	Al Ittihad
1	22%	45%	17%	16%	<1%
2	26%	52%	4%	19%	<1%
3	26%	49%	7%	19%	<1%
4	39%	50%	7%	4%	<1%
5	70%	20%	8%	2%	<1%
6	48%	28%	22%	3%	<1%
7	75%	12%	10%	2%	<1%
8	69%	13%	15%	3%	<1%
9	67%	13%	17%	3%	<1%
10	66%	16%	15%	3%	<1%

Round	Al Hilal	Al Nassr	Al Qadsiah	Al Ahli	Al Ittihad
1	22%	45%	17%	16%	<1%
2	26%	52%	4%	19%	<1%
3	26%	49%	7%	19%	<1%
4	39%	50%	7%	4%	<1%
5	70%	20%	8%	2%	<1%
6	48%	28%	22%	3%	<1%
7	75%	12%	10%	2%	<1%
8	69%	13%	15%	3%	<1%
9	67%	13%	17%	3%	<1%
10	66%	16%	15%	3%	<1%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

AFC Champions League Elite

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Al Hilal	Al Nassr	Al Qadsiah	Al Ahli	Al Ittihad
1	22%	45%	17%	16%	<1%
2	26%	52%	4%	19%	<1%
3	26%	49%	7%	19%	<1%
4	39%	50%	7%	4%	<1%
5	70%	20%	8%	2%	<1%
6	48%	28%	22%	3%	<1%
7	75%	12%	10%	2%	<1%
8	69%	13%	15%	3%	<1%
9	67%	13%	17%	3%	<1%
10	66%	16%	15%	3%	<1%