Saudi Pro League title odds after Matchday 11
After the games up to 24 October 2026
Al Hilal lead the title race at 75%. Al Riyadh 2–1 Al Taawoun moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Al Hilal66%75%+9 pts
Al Ittihad<1%1%+1 pt
Down
Al Qadsiah15%7%−8 pts
Al Nassr16%15%−1 pt
Al Hilal won 3–2 at Al Qadsiah, and their title chances rose from 66% to 75%. Al Qadsiah lost 3–2 to Al Hilal at home, and their title chances fell from 15% to 7%. Al Hilal lead the title race at 75%.
AFC Champions League Elite
Up
Neom SC12%13%+1 pt
Al Ettifaq2%3%+1 pt
Down
- Al Qadsiah>99%99%−1 pt
Al Diriyah1%<1%−1 pt
Al Khaleej1%<1%−1 pt
Neom SC beat Abha 2–0 at home, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances rose from 12% to 13%. Al Qadsiah lost 3–2 to Al Hilal at home, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances fell from >99% to 99%.
Relegation
Up
Al Taawoun38%49%+11 pts
Abha65%73%+8 pts
Al Fateh52%60%+8 pts
Al Taawoun lost 2–1 at Al Riyadh, and their relegation chances rose from 38% to 49%. Al Riyadh beat Al Taawoun 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 38% to 19%.
Changes since Matchday 10, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Al Riyadh 2–1 Al Taawoun moved the odds the most. Al Riyadh beat Al Taawoun 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 38% to 19%. Al Taawoun lost 2–1 at Al Riyadh, and their relegation chances rose from 38% to 49%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Al Hilal
- Al Nassr
- Al Qadsiah
- Al Ahli
- Al Ittihad
Show as a table
| Round | Al Hilal | Al Nassr | Al Qadsiah | Al Ahli | Al Ittihad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22% | 45% | 17% | 16% | <1% |
| 2 | 26% | 52% | 4% | 19% | <1% |
| 3 | 26% | 49% | 7% | 19% | <1% |
| 4 | 39% | 50% | 7% | 4% | <1% |
| 5 | 70% | 20% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| 6 | 48% | 28% | 22% | 3% | <1% |
| 7 | 75% | 12% | 10% | 2% | <1% |
| 8 | 69% | 13% | 15% | 3% | <1% |
| 9 | 67% | 13% | 17% | 3% | <1% |
| 10 | 66% | 16% | 15% | 3% | <1% |
| 11 | 75% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | ACL EliteAFC Champions League Elite | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al HilalAl Hilal | 27 | 75%+9 pts | 100%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 2 | Al NassrAl Nassr | 25 | 15%−1 pt | >99%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 3 | Al QadsiahAl Qadsiah | 25 | 7%−8 pts | 99%−1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 4 | Al IttihadAl Ittihad | 23 | 1%+1 pt | 87%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 5 |  Al AhliAl Ahli | 21 | 3%±0 | 97%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 6 | Neom SCNeom SC | 19 | 0%±0 | 13%+1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 7 | Al EttifaqAl Ettifaq | 18 | 0%±0 | 3%+1 pt | <1%−1 pt |
| 8 | Al DiriyahAl Diriyah | 15 | 0%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 3%+1 pt |
| 9 |  Al KholoodAl Kholood | 12 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 12%+5 pts |
| 10 | Al KhaleejAl Khaleej | 12 | 0%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 6%+1 pt |
| 11 |  Al RiyadhAl Riyadh | 12 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 19%−19 pts |
| 12 |  Al ShababAl Shabab | 11 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 5%−8 pts |
| 13 |  Al HazemAl Hazem | 10 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 16%−1 pt |
| 14 |  Al FayhaAl Fayha | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 28%−3 pts |
| 15 |  Al FaisalyAl Faisaly | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 30%−1 pt |
| 16 | Al FatehAl Fateh | 6 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 60%+8 pts |
| 17 | Al TaawounAl Taawoun | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 49%+11 pts |
| 18 | AbhaAbha | 2 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 73%+8 pts |
Chances after Matchday 11, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 10 below each.