Saudi Pro League title odds after Matchday 9

After the games up to 20 October 2026

Al Hilal lead the title race at 67%. Neom SC 0–1 Al Ettifaq moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Al Qadsiah15%17%+2 pts

Down

Al Hilal69%67%−2 pts

Al Qadsiah's title chances rose from 15% to 17%. Al Hilal beat Al Hazem 1–0 at home, and their title chances fell from 69% to 67%. Al Hilal lead the title race at 67%.

AFC Champions League Elite

Al Ittihad67%72%+5 pts
Al Ettifaq3%8%+5 pts
Al Qadsiah99%>99%+1 pt

Down

Neom SC33%21%−12 pts
Al Kholood1%<1%−1 pt

Al Ittihad didn't play, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances rose from 67% to 72%. Neom SC lost 1–0 to Al Ettifaq at home, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances fell from 33% to 21%.

Relegation

Al Fayha16%31%+15 pts
Al Riyadh25%37%+12 pts
Al Hazem11%19%+8 pts

Down

Al Faisaly50%31%−19 pts
Al Khaleej19%5%−14 pts
Al Fateh61%52%−9 pts

Al Fayha's relegation chances rose from 16% to 31%. Al Faisaly's relegation chances fell from 50% to 31%.

Changes since Matchday 8, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Neom SC

0–1

Al Ettifaq

Neom SC 0–1 Al Ettifaq moved the odds the most. Neom SC lost 1–0 to Al Ettifaq at home, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances fell from 33% to 21%. Al Ettifaq won 1–0 at Neom SC, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances rose from 3% to 8%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Al Hilal
Al Qadsiah
Al Nassr
Al Ahli
Al Ittihad

Show as a table

Round	Al Hilal	Al Qadsiah	Al Nassr	Al Ahli	Al Ittihad
1	22%	17%	45%	16%	<1%
2	26%	4%	52%	19%	<1%
3	26%	7%	49%	19%	<1%
4	39%	7%	50%	4%	<1%
5	70%	8%	20%	2%	<1%
6	48%	22%	28%	3%	<1%
7	75%	10%	12%	2%	<1%
8	69%	15%	13%	3%	<1%
9	67%	17%	13%	3%	<1%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	ACL EliteAFC Champions League Elite	RelegationRelegation
1	Al QadsiahAl Qadsiah	25	17%+2 pts	>99%+1 pt	0%±0
2	Al HilalAl Hilal	24	67%−2 pts	>99%±0	0%±0
3	Al NassrAl Nassr	19	13%±0	99%±0	0%±0
4	Al AhliAl Ahli	18	3%±0	97%+1 pt	0%±0
5	Al IttihadAl Ittihad	17	<1%±0	72%+5 pts	0%±0
6	Neom SCNeom SC	16	0%±0	21%−12 pts	<1%±0
7	Al EttifaqAl Ettifaq	15	<1%±0	8%+5 pts	<1%−1 pt
8	Al DiriyahAl Diriyah	15	0%±0	1%±0	2%−2 pts
9	Al KholoodAl Kholood	12	0%±0	<1%−1 pt	7%+3 pts
10	Al KhaleejAl Khaleej	12	0%±0	1%+1 pt	5%−14 pts
11	Al HazemAl Hazem	9	0%±0	<1%±0	19%+8 pts
12	Al RiyadhAl Riyadh	9	0%±0	<1%±0	37%+12 pts
13	Al ShababAl Shabab	8	0%±0	<1%±0	12%+1 pt
14	Al FaisalyAl Faisaly	7	0%±0	<1%±0	31%−19 pts
15	Al FayhaAl Fayha	7	0%±0	<1%±0	31%+15 pts
16	Al FatehAl Fateh	6	0%±0	0%±0	52%−9 pts
17	Al TaawounAl Taawoun	4	0%±0	<1%±0	39%+6 pts
18	AbhaAbha	2	0%±0	0%±0	64%−1 pt

Chances after Matchday 9, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 8 below each.

Round	Al Hilal	Al Qadsiah	Al Nassr	Al Ahli	Al Ittihad
1	22%	17%	45%	16%	<1%
2	26%	4%	52%	19%	<1%
3	26%	7%	49%	19%	<1%
4	39%	7%	50%	4%	<1%
5	70%	8%	20%	2%	<1%
6	48%	22%	28%	3%	<1%
7	75%	10%	12%	2%	<1%
8	69%	15%	13%	3%	<1%
9	67%	17%	13%	3%	<1%

Round	Al Hilal	Al Qadsiah	Al Nassr	Al Ahli	Al Ittihad
1	22%	17%	45%	16%	<1%
2	26%	4%	52%	19%	<1%
3	26%	7%	49%	19%	<1%
4	39%	7%	50%	4%	<1%
5	70%	8%	20%	2%	<1%
6	48%	22%	28%	3%	<1%
7	75%	10%	12%	2%	<1%
8	69%	15%	13%	3%	<1%
9	67%	17%	13%	3%	<1%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

AFC Champions League Elite

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Al Hilal	Al Qadsiah	Al Nassr	Al Ahli	Al Ittihad
1	22%	17%	45%	16%	<1%
2	26%	4%	52%	19%	<1%
3	26%	7%	49%	19%	<1%
4	39%	7%	50%	4%	<1%
5	70%	8%	20%	2%	<1%
6	48%	22%	28%	3%	<1%
7	75%	10%	12%	2%	<1%
8	69%	15%	13%	3%	<1%
9	67%	17%	13%	3%	<1%