Saudi Pro League title odds after Matchday 6
After the games up to 9 September 2026
Al Hilal lead the title race at 48%. Al Hilal 0–2 Neom SC moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Al Qadsiah8%22%+14 pts
Al Nassr20%28%+8 pts
Al Ahli2%3%+1 pt
Down
Al Hilal70%48%−22 pts
Al Qadsiah beat Al Ahli 3–2 at home, and their title chances rose from 8% to 22%. Al Hilal lost 2–0 to Neom SC at home, and their title chances fell from 70% to 48%. Al Hilal lead the title race at 48%.
AFC Champions League Elite
Up
Neom SC13%28%+15 pts
Al Kholood10%11%+1 pt
Al Diriyah3%4%+1 pt
Down
- Al Ahli96%90%−6 pts
Al Taawoun6%1%−5 pts
Al Ettifaq8%4%−4 pts
Neom SC won 2–0 at Al Hilal, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances rose from 13% to 28%. Al Ahli lost 3–2 at Al Qadsiah, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances fell from 96% to 90%.
Relegation
Up
Al Fateh28%37%+9 pts
Al Shabab22%28%+6 pts
Al Khaleej28%33%+5 pts
Down
Al Hazem23%10%−13 pts
Abha73%69%−4 pts
Al Faisaly48%45%−3 pts
Al Fateh lost 2–1 to Al Diriyah at home, and their relegation chances rose from 28% to 37%. Al Hazem beat Al Taawoun 1–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 23% to 10%.
Changes since Matchday 5, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Al Hilal 0–2 Neom SC moved the odds the most. Al Hilal lost 2–0 to Neom SC at home, and their title chances fell from 70% to 48%. Neom SC won 2–0 at Al Hilal, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances rose from 13% to 28%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Al Hilal
- Al Nassr
- Al Qadsiah
- Al Ahli
- Al Ittihad
Show as a table
| Round | Al Hilal | Al Nassr | Al Qadsiah | Al Ahli | Al Ittihad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22% | 45% | 17% | 16% | <1% |
| 2 | 26% | 52% | 4% | 19% | <1% |
| 3 | 26% | 49% | 7% | 19% | <1% |
| 4 | 39% | 50% | 7% | 4% | <1% |
| 5 | 70% | 20% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| 6 | 48% | 28% | 22% | 3% | <1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | ACL EliteAFC Champions League Elite | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al HilalAl Hilal | 15 | 48%−22 pts | >99%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 2 | Al NassrAl Nassr | 15 | 28%+8 pts | 99%−1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 3 | Al QadsiahAl Qadsiah | 15 | 22%+14 pts | 99%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 4 |  Al IttihadAl Ittihad | 14 | <1%±0 | 63%−1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 5 | Neom SCNeom SC | 12 | <1%±0 | 28%+15 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 6 | Al KholoodAl Kholood | 12 | <1%±0 | 11%+1 pt | 1%±0 |
| 7 | Al DiriyahAl Diriyah | 10 | 0%±0 | 4%+1 pt | 2%−3 pts |
| 8 | Al EttifaqAl Ettifaq | 10 | 0%±0 | 4%−4 pts | 2%±0 |
| 9 | Al AhliAl Ahli | 9 | 3%+1 pt | 90%−6 pts | 0%±0 |
| 10 | Al HazemAl Hazem | 8 | 0%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 10%−13 pts |
| 11 |  Al FayhaAl Fayha | 5 | 0%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 15%+2 pts |
| 12 |  Al RiyadhAl Riyadh | 5 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 54%+1 pt |
| 13 | Al KhaleejAl Khaleej | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 33%+5 pts |
| 14 | Al TaawounAl Taawoun | 3 | 0%±0 | 1%−5 pts | 6%+3 pts |
| 15 | Al ShababAl Shabab | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 28%+6 pts |
| 16 | Al FatehAl Fateh | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 37%+9 pts |
| 17 | Al FaisalyAl Faisaly | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 45%−3 pts |
| 18 | AbhaAbha | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 69%−4 pts |
Chances after Matchday 6, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 5 below each.