Saudi Pro League title odds after Matchday 3
After the games up to 26 August 2026
Al Nassr lead the title race at 49%. Al Ittihad 3–2 Al Hazem moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Al Qadsiah4%7%+3 pts
Down
Al Nassr52%49%−3 pts
Al Qadsiah won 2–0 at Neom SC, and their title chances rose from 4% to 7%. Al Nassr won 3–2 at Al Ettifaq, and their title chances fell from 52% to 49%. Al Nassr lead the title race at 49%.
AFC Champions League Elite
Up
Al Ittihad34%47%+13 pts- Al Qadsiah93%96%+3 pts
Down
Neom SC23%14%−9 pts
Al Taawoun16%12%−4 pts
Al Ettifaq23%22%−1 pt
Al Ittihad beat Al Hazem 3–2 at home, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances rose from 34% to 47%. Neom SC lost 2–0 to Al Qadsiah at home, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances fell from 23% to 14%.
Relegation
Up
Al Hazem20%25%+5 pts
Al Faisaly42%46%+4 pts
Al Khaleej6%8%+2 pts
Down
Al Riyadh62%55%−7 pts
Al Fayha30%28%−2 pts
Al Diriyah18%16%−2 pts
Al Hazem lost 3–2 at Al Ittihad, and their relegation chances rose from 20% to 25%. Al Riyadh drew 3–3 at Al Shabab, and their relegation chances fell from 62% to 55%.
Changes since Matchday 2, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Al Ittihad 3–2 Al Hazem moved the odds the most. Al Ittihad beat Al Hazem 3–2 at home, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances rose from 34% to 47%. Al Hazem lost 3–2 at Al Ittihad, and their relegation chances rose from 20% to 25%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Al Nassr
- Al Hilal
- Al Ahli
- Al Qadsiah
- Al Ittihad
Show as a table
| Round | Al Nassr | Al Hilal | Al Ahli | Al Qadsiah | Al Ittihad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 45% | 22% | 16% | 17% | <1% |
| 2 | 52% | 26% | 19% | 4% | <1% |
| 3 | 49% | 26% | 19% | 7% | <1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | ACL EliteAFC Champions League Elite | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al NassrAl Nassr | 9 | 49%−3 pts | >99%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 2 | Al IttihadAl Ittihad | 7 | <1%±0 | 47%+13 pts | <1%±0 |
| 3 |  Al HilalAl Hilal | 6 | 26%±0 | 99%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 4 |  Al AhliAl Ahli | 6 | 19%±0 | 99%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 5 | Al QadsiahAl Qadsiah | 6 | 7%+3 pts | 96%+3 pts | 0%±0 |
| 6 | Al EttifaqAl Ettifaq | 6 | <1%±0 | 22%−1 pt | 1%±0 |
| 7 | Neom SCNeom SC | 6 | 0%±0 | 14%−9 pts | 2%+1 pt |
| 8 |  Al KholoodAl Kholood | 5 | 0%±0 | 3%±0 | 9%±0 |
| 9 | Al DiriyahAl Diriyah | 4 | 0%±0 | 1%±0 | 16%−2 pts |
| 10 | Al KhaleejAl Khaleej | 3 | 0%±0 | 4%±0 | 8%+2 pts |
| 11 | Al HazemAl Hazem | 3 | 0%±0 | 1%±0 | 25%+5 pts |
| 12 | Al TaawounAl Taawoun | 2 | 0%±0 | 12%−4 pts | 2%±0 |
| 13 |  Al ShababAl Shabab | 2 | 0%±0 | 1%±0 | 18%±0 |
| 14 | Al FaisalyAl Faisaly | 1 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 46%+4 pts |
| 15 |  Al FatehAl Fateh | 1 | 0%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 32%−1 pt |
| 16 | Al FayhaAl Fayha | 1 | 0%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 28%−2 pts |
| 17 |  AbhaAbha | 1 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 57%−1 pt |
| 18 | Al RiyadhAl Riyadh | 1 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 55%−7 pts |
Chances after Matchday 3, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 2 below each.