Saudi Pro League title odds after Matchday 8
After the games up to 11 October 2026
Al Hilal lead the title race at 69%. Al Shabab 3–0 Al Taawoun moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Al Qadsiah10%15%+5 pts
Al Nassr12%13%+1 pt
Al Ahli2%3%+1 pt
Down
Al Hilal75%69%−6 pts
Al Qadsiah won 5–0 at Al Kholood, and their title chances rose from 10% to 15%. Al Hilal beat Al Ittihad 3–2 at home, and their title chances fell from 75% to 69%. Al Hilal lead the title race at 69%.
AFC Champions League Elite
Up
- Al Ahli91%96%+5 pts
- Al Qadsiah98%99%+1 pt
- Al Nassr98%99%+1 pt
Down
Neom SC37%33%−4 pts
Al Ittihad68%67%−1 pt
Al Ettifaq4%3%−1 pt
Al Ahli won 4–0 at Al Fateh, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances rose from 91% to 96%. Neom SC drew 1–1 at Al Hazem, and their AFC Champions League Elite chances fell from 37% to 33%.
Relegation
Up
Al Taawoun18%33%+15 pts
Al Fateh47%61%+14 pts
Al Kholood2%4%+2 pts
Down
Al Shabab30%11%−19 pts
Al Khaleej23%19%−4 pts
Abha68%65%−3 pts
Al Taawoun lost 3–0 at Al Shabab, and their relegation chances rose from 18% to 33%. Al Shabab beat Al Taawoun 3–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 30% to 11%.
Changes since Matchday 7, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Al Shabab 3–0 Al Taawoun moved the odds the most. Al Shabab beat Al Taawoun 3–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 30% to 11%. Al Taawoun lost 3–0 at Al Shabab, and their relegation chances rose from 18% to 33%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Al Hilal
- Al Qadsiah
- Al Nassr
- Al Ahli
- Al Ittihad
Show as a table
| Round | Al Hilal | Al Qadsiah | Al Nassr | Al Ahli | Al Ittihad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22% | 17% | 45% | 16% | <1% |
| 2 | 26% | 4% | 52% | 19% | <1% |
| 3 | 26% | 7% | 49% | 19% | <1% |
| 4 | 39% | 7% | 50% | 4% | <1% |
| 5 | 70% | 8% | 20% | 2% | <1% |
| 6 | 48% | 22% | 28% | 3% | <1% |
| 7 | 75% | 10% | 12% | 2% | <1% |
| 8 | 69% | 15% | 13% | 3% | <1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | ACL EliteAFC Champions League Elite | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al HilalAl Hilal | 21 | 69%−6 pts | >99%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 2 | Al QadsiahAl Qadsiah | 19 | 15%+5 pts | 99%+1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 3 | Al NassrAl Nassr | 19 | 13%+1 pt | 99%+1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 4 | Al IttihadAl Ittihad | 17 | <1%±0 | 67%−1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 5 | Neom SCNeom SC | 16 | <1%±0 | 33%−4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 6 | Al AhliAl Ahli | 15 | 3%+1 pt | 96%+5 pts | 0%±0 |
| 7 | Al EttifaqAl Ettifaq | 12 | 0%±0 | 3%−1 pt | 1%±0 |
| 8 | Al KholoodAl Kholood | 12 | 0%±0 | 1%−1 pt | 4%+2 pts |
| 9 |  Al DiriyahAl Diriyah | 11 | 0%±0 | 1%±0 | 4%+1 pt |
| 10 |  Al HazemAl Hazem | 9 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 11%−3 pts |
| 11 |  Al RiyadhAl Riyadh | 9 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 25%−3 pts |
| 12 | Al ShababAl Shabab | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 11%−19 pts |
| 13 |  Al FayhaAl Fayha | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 16%+1 pt |
| 14 | Al KhaleejAl Khaleej | 6 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 19%−4 pts |
| 15 |  Al FaisalyAl Faisaly | 3 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 50%−3 pts |
| 16 | Al FatehAl Fateh | 3 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 61%+14 pts |
| 17 | Al TaawounAl Taawoun | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 33%+15 pts |
| 18 | AbhaAbha | 2 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 65%−3 pts |
Chances after Matchday 8, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 7 below each.