2. Bundesliga title odds after Matchday 9
After the games up to 25 October 2026
Hertha BSC lead the title race at 51%. Nürnberg 0–1 Kaiserslautern moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Hertha BSC39%51%+12 pts
Kaiserslautern3%7%+4 pts
Down
Nürnberg13%6%−7 pts
Wolfsburg36%30%−6 pts
Heidenheim6%3%−3 pts
Hertha BSC beat Bielefeld 1–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 39% to 51%. Nürnberg lost 1–0 to Kaiserslautern at home, and their title chances fell from 13% to 6%. Hertha BSC lead the title race at 51%.
Promotion
Up
- Hertha BSC65%76%+11 pts
- Kaiserslautern11%21%+10 pts
Magdeburg2%6%+4 pts
Down
- Nürnberg32%19%−13 pts
- Heidenheim17%11%−6 pts
- Wolfsburg64%60%−4 pts
Hertha BSC beat Bielefeld 1–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 65% to 76%. Nürnberg lost 1–0 to Kaiserslautern at home, and their promotion chances fell from 32% to 19%.
Relegation
Up
Karlsruher19%38%+19 pts
Greuther Fürth13%24%+11 pts
Dynamo Dresden11%20%+9 pts
Down
Osnabrück37%22%−15 pts
Braunschweig33%18%−15 pts
Holstein Kiel26%13%−13 pts
Karlsruher lost 6–1 at Magdeburg, and their relegation chances rose from 19% to 38%. Osnabrück beat Greuther Fürth 3–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 37% to 22%.
Changes since Matchday 8, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Nürnberg 0–1 Kaiserslautern moved the odds the most. Nürnberg lost 1–0 to Kaiserslautern at home, and their promotion chances fell from 32% to 19%. Kaiserslautern won 1–0 at Nürnberg, and their promotion chances rose from 11% to 21%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Hertha BSC
- Wolfsburg
- Kaiserslautern
- Nürnberg
- Heidenheim
Show as a table
| Round | Hertha BSC | Wolfsburg | Kaiserslautern | Nürnberg | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5% | 31% | 3% | 7% | 27% |
| 2 | 15% | 41% | 2% | 12% | 10% |
| 3 | 16% | 51% | 2% | 14% | 11% |
| 4 | 21% | 37% | 7% | 13% | 17% |
| 5 | 33% | 22% | 2% | 18% | 20% |
| 6 | 35% | 30% | 2% | 19% | 12% |
| 7 | 43% | 26% | 2% | 16% | 9% |
| 8 | 39% | 36% | 3% | 13% | 6% |
| 9 | 51% | 30% | 7% | 6% | 3% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSCHertha BSC | 25 | 51%+12 pts | 76%+11 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 | Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg | 18 | 6%−7 pts | 19%−13 pts | <1%±0 |
| 3 | KaiserslauternKaiserslautern | 18 | 7%+4 pts | 21%+10 pts | <1%±0 |
| 4 | WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg | 16 | 30%−6 pts | 60%−4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 5 | Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg | 16 | 1%±0 | 6%+4 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 6 | Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim | 15 | 3%−3 pts | 11%−6 pts | <1%±0 |
| 7 |  St. PauliSt. Pauli | 12 | 2%±0 | 6%−2 pts | <1%±0 |
| 8 | OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück | 11 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 22%−15 pts |
| 9 |  BielefeldArminia Bielefeld | 11 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 3%+1 pt |
| 10 | BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig | 10 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 18%−15 pts |
| 11 |  CottbusEnergie Cottbus | 10 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 12%−3 pts |
| 12 | Greuther FürthGreuther Fürth | 9 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 24%+11 pts |
| 13 | Holstein KielHolstein Kiel | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 13%−13 pts |
| 14 |  BochumVfL Bochum | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 18%±0 |
| 15 | Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 20%+9 pts |
| 16 |  HannoverHannover 96 | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 9%+5 pts |
| 17 | KarlsruherKarlsruher SC | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 38%+19 pts |
| 18 |  DarmstadtSV Darmstadt 98 | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 23%+2 pts |
Chances after Matchday 9, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 8 below each.