2. Bundesliga title odds after Matchday 3
After the games up to 30 August 2026
Wolfsburg lead the title race at 51%. Bochum 0–1 Osnabrück moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Wolfsburg41%51%+10 pts
Nürnberg12%14%+2 pts
Hertha BSC15%16%+1 pt
Wolfsburg won 5–2 at Karlsruher, and their title chances rose from 41% to 51%. St. Pauli lost 2–1 to Kaiserslautern at home, and their title chances fell from 9% to 2%. Wolfsburg lead the title race at 51%.
Promotion
Up
- Wolfsburg62%73%+11 pts
- Nürnberg25%35%+10 pts
Heidenheim22%27%+5 pts
Wolfsburg won 5–2 at Karlsruher, and their promotion chances rose from 62% to 73%. St. Pauli lost 2–1 to Kaiserslautern at home, and their promotion chances fell from 20% to 7%.
Relegation
Up
Cottbus33%47%+14 pts
Holstein Kiel7%15%+8 pts
Braunschweig10%17%+7 pts
Down
Osnabrück66%47%−19 pts
Greuther Fürth34%20%−14 pts
Magdeburg17%8%−9 pts
Cottbus lost 4–3 to Greuther Fürth at home, and their relegation chances rose from 33% to 47%. Osnabrück won 1–0 at Bochum, and their relegation chances fell from 66% to 47%.
Changes since Matchday 2, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Bochum 0–1 Osnabrück moved the odds the most. Bochum lost 1–0 to Osnabrück at home, and their relegation chances rose from 3% to 8%. Osnabrück won 1–0 at Bochum, and their relegation chances fell from 66% to 47%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Wolfsburg
- Hertha BSC
- Nürnberg
- Heidenheim
- Kaiserslautern
Show as a table
| Round | Wolfsburg | Hertha BSC | Nürnberg | Heidenheim | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31% | 5% | 7% | 27% | 3% |
| 2 | 41% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 2% |
| 3 | 51% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 2% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg | 9 | 14%+2 pts | 35%+10 pts | <1%±0 |
| 2 | Hertha BSCHertha BSC | 9 | 16%+1 pt | 36%+4 pts | <1%±0 |
| 3 | WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg | 7 | 51%+10 pts | 73%+11 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 | Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim | 6 | 11%+1 pt | 27%+5 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 5 | Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 8%−9 pts |
| 6 |  KaiserslauternKaiserslautern | 5 | 2%±0 | 8%+3 pts | 1%−2 pts |
| 7 | Greuther FürthGreuther Fürth | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 20%−14 pts |
| 8 |  KarlsruherKarlsruher SC | 4 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−2 pts | 13%+6 pts |
| 9 | BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig | 3 | <1%±0 | <1%−2 pts | 17%+7 pts |
| 10 |  BielefeldArminia Bielefeld | 3 | <1%−3 pts | 2%−5 pts | 7%+4 pts |
| 11 |  BochumVfL Bochum | 3 | <1%−2 pts | 1%−4 pts | 8%+5 pts |
| 12 | CottbusEnergie Cottbus | 3 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 47%+14 pts |
| 13 |  HannoverHannover 96 | 3 | 2%+1 pt | 6%+2 pts | 2%−3 pts |
| 14 | OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 47%−19 pts |
| 15 |  Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden | 3 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−2 pts | 9%+2 pts |
| 16 |  St. PauliSt. Pauli | 2 | 2%−7 pts | 7%−13 pts | 1%±0 |
| 17 | Holstein KielHolstein Kiel | 2 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−2 pts | 15%+8 pts |
| 18 |  DarmstadtSV Darmstadt 98 | 1 | <1%−2 pts | 2%−5 pts | 5%+2 pts |
Chances after Matchday 3, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 2 below each.