2. Bundesliga title odds after Matchday 8
After the games up to 18 October 2026
Hertha BSC lead the title race at 39%. Karlsruher 4–0 Darmstadt moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Wolfsburg26%36%+10 pts
Kaiserslautern2%3%+1 pt
Down
Hertha BSC43%39%−4 pts
Nürnberg16%13%−3 pts
Heidenheim9%6%−3 pts
Wolfsburg beat Heidenheim 3–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 26% to 36%. Hertha BSC drew 0–0 at Holstein Kiel, and their title chances fell from 43% to 39%. Hertha BSC lead the title race at 39%.
Promotion
Up
- Wolfsburg52%64%+12 pts
- Kaiserslautern7%11%+4 pts
Down
- Heidenheim24%17%−7 pts
- Nürnberg36%32%−4 pts
Magdeburg5%2%−3 pts
Wolfsburg beat Heidenheim 3–1 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 52% to 64%. Heidenheim lost 3–1 at Wolfsburg, and their promotion chances fell from 24% to 17%.
Relegation
Up
Darmstadt8%21%+13 pts
Braunschweig21%33%+12 pts
Bochum10%18%+8 pts
Down
Karlsruher41%19%−22 pts
Dynamo Dresden20%11%−9 pts
Greuther Fürth21%13%−8 pts
Darmstadt lost 4–0 at Karlsruher, and their relegation chances rose from 8% to 21%. Karlsruher beat Darmstadt 4–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 41% to 19%.
Changes since Matchday 7, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Karlsruher 4–0 Darmstadt moved the odds the most. Karlsruher beat Darmstadt 4–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 41% to 19%. Darmstadt lost 4–0 at Karlsruher, and their relegation chances rose from 8% to 21%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Hertha BSC
- Wolfsburg
- Nürnberg
- Heidenheim
- Kaiserslautern
Show as a table
| Round | Hertha BSC | Wolfsburg | Nürnberg | Heidenheim | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5% | 31% | 7% | 27% | 3% |
| 2 | 15% | 41% | 12% | 10% | 2% |
| 3 | 16% | 51% | 14% | 11% | 2% |
| 4 | 21% | 37% | 13% | 17% | 7% |
| 5 | 33% | 22% | 18% | 20% | 2% |
| 6 | 35% | 30% | 19% | 12% | 2% |
| 7 | 43% | 26% | 16% | 9% | 2% |
| 8 | 39% | 36% | 13% | 6% | 3% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSCHertha BSC | 22 | 39%−4 pts | 65%−1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 2 | Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg | 18 | 13%−3 pts | 32%−4 pts | <1%±0 |
| 3 | WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg | 15 | 36%+10 pts | 64%+12 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 | KaiserslauternKaiserslautern | 15 | 3%+1 pt | 11%+4 pts | <1%±0 |
| 5 | Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim | 14 | 6%−3 pts | 17%−7 pts | <1%±0 |
| 6 | Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg | 13 | 1%±0 | 2%−3 pts | 1%±0 |
| 7 |  St. PauliSt. Pauli | 11 | 2%−1 pt | 8%−1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 8 |  BielefeldArminia Bielefeld | 11 | <1%±0 | 1%±0 | 2%−1 pt |
| 9 |  CottbusEnergie Cottbus | 9 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 15%−1 pt |
| 10 | Greuther FürthGreuther Fürth | 9 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 13%−8 pts |
| 11 | Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 11%−9 pts |
| 12 |  OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück | 8 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 37%+7 pts |
| 13 | KarlsruherKarlsruher SC | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 19%−22 pts |
| 14 |  HannoverHannover 96 | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 4%±0 |
| 15 | BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 33%+12 pts |
| 16 | BochumVfL Bochum | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 18%+8 pts |
| 17 | DarmstadtSV Darmstadt 98 | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 21%+13 pts |
| 18 |  Holstein KielHolstein Kiel | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 26%+2 pts |
Chances after Matchday 8, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 7 below each.