2. Bundesliga title odds after Matchday 1
After the games up to 9 August 2026
Wolfsburg lead the title race at 31%.
Biggest risers and fallers
This is the season's first report: the changes start with the next round.
The title race
- Wolfsburg
- Heidenheim
- St. Pauli
- Nürnberg
- Hertha BSC
Show as a table
| Round | Wolfsburg | Heidenheim | St. Pauli | Nürnberg | Hertha BSC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31% | 27% | 12% | 7% | 5% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig | 3 | 1% | 3% | 8% |
| 2 |  Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg | 3 | 7% | 16% | 1% |
| 3 |  CottbusEnergie Cottbus | 3 | <1% | 1% | 20% |
| 4 |  Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim | 3 | 27% | 46% | <1% |
| 5 |  KarlsruherKarlsruher SC | 3 | 1% | 3% | 9% |
| 6 |  Hertha BSCHertha BSC | 3 | 5% | 12% | 2% |
| 7 |  Holstein KielHolstein Kiel | 1 | 1% | 3% | 8% |
| 8 |  DarmstadtSV Darmstadt 98 | 1 | 5% | 12% | 3% |
| 9 |  Greuther FürthGreuther Fürth | 1 | <1% | 1% | 24% |
| 10 |  St. PauliSt. Pauli | 1 | 12% | 26% | <1% |
| 11 |  KaiserslauternKaiserslautern | 1 | 3% | 8% | 3% |
| 12 |  WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg | 1 | 31% | 51% | <1% |
| 13 |  OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück | 0 | <1% | <1% | 38% |
| 14 |  BielefeldArminia Bielefeld | 0 | 1% | 3% | 9% |
| 15 |  BochumVfL Bochum | 0 | 1% | 3% | 10% |
| 16 |  HannoverHannover 96 | 0 | 4% | 9% | 3% |
| 17 |  Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden | 0 | <1% | 2% | 15% |
| 18 |  Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg | 0 | <1% | <1% | 46% |
Chances after Matchday 1, from 10,000 simulated seasons.