2. Bundesliga title odds after Matchday 6
After the games up to 20 September 2026
Hertha BSC lead the title race at 35%. Wolfsburg 5–1 Darmstadt moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Wolfsburg22%30%+8 pts
Hertha BSC33%35%+2 pts
Nürnberg18%19%+1 pt
Down
Heidenheim20%12%−8 pts
St. Pauli4%2%−2 pts
Hannover1%<1%−1 pt
Wolfsburg beat Darmstadt 5–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 22% to 30%. Heidenheim drew 2–2 at Bielefeld, and their title chances fell from 20% to 12%. Hertha BSC lead the title race at 35%.
Promotion
Up
- Wolfsburg43%55%+12 pts
- Hertha BSC56%60%+4 pts
- Nürnberg37%39%+2 pts
Down
- Heidenheim40%29%−11 pts
- St. Pauli10%6%−4 pts
Magdeburg3%1%−2 pts
Wolfsburg beat Darmstadt 5–1 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 43% to 55%. Heidenheim drew 2–2 at Bielefeld, and their promotion chances fell from 40% to 29%.
Relegation
Up
Darmstadt10%16%+6 pts
Karlsruher28%32%+4 pts
Dynamo Dresden16%20%+4 pts
Darmstadt lost 5–1 at Wolfsburg, and their relegation chances rose from 10% to 16%. Osnabrück drew 1–1 at Holstein Kiel, and their relegation chances fell from 36% to 31%.
Changes since Matchday 5, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Wolfsburg 5–1 Darmstadt moved the odds the most. Wolfsburg beat Darmstadt 5–1 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 43% to 55%. Darmstadt lost 5–1 at Wolfsburg, and their relegation chances rose from 10% to 16%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Hertha BSC
- Wolfsburg
- Nürnberg
- Heidenheim
- St. Pauli
Show as a table
| Round | Hertha BSC | Wolfsburg | Nürnberg | Heidenheim | St. Pauli |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5% | 31% | 7% | 27% | 12% |
| 2 | 15% | 41% | 12% | 10% | 9% |
| 3 | 16% | 51% | 14% | 11% | 2% |
| 4 | 21% | 37% | 13% | 17% | 2% |
| 5 | 33% | 22% | 18% | 20% | 4% |
| 6 | 35% | 30% | 19% | 12% | 2% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSCHertha BSC | 18 | 35%+2 pts | 60%+4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 | Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg | 16 | 19%+1 pt | 39%+2 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 | Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim | 13 | 12%−8 pts | 29%−11 pts | <1%±0 |
| 4 | WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg | 11 | 30%+8 pts | 55%+12 pts | 0%±0 |
| 5 |  KaiserslauternKaiserslautern | 11 | 2%±0 | 6%±0 | <1%−1 pt |
| 6 | Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−2 pts | 2%−1 pt |
| 7 |  CottbusEnergie Cottbus | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 11%−5 pts |
| 8 | St. PauliSt. Pauli | 7 | 2%−2 pts | 6%−4 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 9 |  BochumVfL Bochum | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 6%+1 pt |
| 10 | HannoverHannover 96 | 7 | <1%−1 pt | 2%±0 | 1%−3 pts |
| 11 |  OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 31%−5 pts |
| 12 |  Greuther FürthGreuther Fürth | 6 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 21%−2 pts |
| 13 |  BielefeldArminia Bielefeld | 5 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 8%−2 pts |
| 14 | KarlsruherKarlsruher SC | 5 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 32%+4 pts |
| 15 |  BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 33%+2 pts |
| 16 |  Holstein KielHolstein Kiel | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 19%+2 pts |
| 17 | Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 20%+4 pts |
| 18 | DarmstadtSV Darmstadt 98 | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 16%+6 pts |
Chances after Matchday 6, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 5 below each.