2. Bundesliga title odds after Matchday 2
After the games up to 16 August 2026
Wolfsburg lead the title race at 41%. Hertha BSC 4–1 Heidenheim moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Wolfsburg31%41%+10 pts
Hertha BSC5%15%+10 pts
Nürnberg7%12%+5 pts
Down
Heidenheim27%10%−17 pts
St. Pauli12%9%−3 pts
Darmstadt5%2%−3 pts
Wolfsburg won 1–0 at Hannover, and their title chances rose from 31% to 41%. Heidenheim lost 4–1 at Hertha BSC, and their title chances fell from 27% to 10%. Wolfsburg lead the title race at 41%.
Promotion
Up
Hertha BSC12%32%+20 pts
Wolfsburg51%62%+11 pts
Nürnberg16%25%+9 pts
Down
Heidenheim46%22%−24 pts
St. Pauli26%20%−6 pts
Darmstadt12%7%−5 pts
Hertha BSC beat Heidenheim 4–1 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 12% to 32%. Heidenheim lost 4–1 at Hertha BSC, and their promotion chances fell from 46% to 22%.
Relegation
Up
Osnabrück38%66%+28 pts
Cottbus20%33%+13 pts
Greuther Fürth24%34%+10 pts
Down
Magdeburg46%17%−29 pts
Dynamo Dresden15%7%−8 pts
Bochum10%3%−7 pts
Osnabrück lost 3–0 to Magdeburg at home, and their relegation chances rose from 38% to 66%. Magdeburg won 3–0 at Osnabrück, and their relegation chances fell from 46% to 17%.
Changes since Matchday 1, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Hertha BSC 4–1 Heidenheim moved the odds the most. Hertha BSC beat Heidenheim 4–1 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 12% to 32%. Heidenheim lost 4–1 at Hertha BSC, and their promotion chances fell from 46% to 22%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Wolfsburg
- Hertha BSC
- Nürnberg
- Heidenheim
- St. Pauli
Show as a table
| Round | Wolfsburg | Hertha BSC | Nürnberg | Heidenheim | St. Pauli |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31% | 5% | 7% | 27% | 12% |
| 2 | 41% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 12%+5 pts | 25%+9 pts | <1%−1 pt | |
| 2 | 6 | 15%+10 pts | 32%+20 pts | <1%−2 pts | |
| 3 | 4 | 1%±0 | 3%±0 | 7%−2 pts | |
| 4 | 4 | 41%+10 pts | 62%+11 pts | 0%±0 | |
| 5 | 3 | <1%−1 pt | 2%−1 pt | 10%+2 pts | |
| 6 | 3 | 3%+2 pts | 7%+4 pts | 3%−6 pts | |
| 7 | 3 | 2%+1 pt | 5%+2 pts | 3%−7 pts | |
| 8 | 3 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 33%+13 pts | |
| 9 | 3 | 10%−17 pts | 22%−24 pts | 1%+1 pt | |
| 10 | 3 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 17%−29 pts | |
| 11 | 3 | 1%+1 pt | 3%+1 pt | 7%−8 pts | |
| 12 | 2 | 1%±0 | 3%±0 | 7%−1 pt | |
| 13 | 2 | 9%−3 pts | 20%−6 pts | 1%+1 pt | |
| 14 | 2 | 2%−1 pt | 5%−3 pts | 3%±0 | |
| 15 | 1 | 2%−3 pts | 7%−5 pts | 3%±0 | |
| 16 | 1 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 34%+10 pts | |
| 17 | 0 | 1%−3 pts | 4%−5 pts | 5%+2 pts | |
| 18 | 0 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 66%+28 pts |
Chances after Matchday 2, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 1 below each.