2. Bundesliga title odds after Matchday 7
After the games up to 11 October 2026
Hertha BSC lead the title race at 43%. Braunschweig 1–0 Holstein Kiel moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Hertha BSC35%43%+8 pts
St. Pauli2%3%+1 pt
Magdeburg<1%1%+1 pt
Down
Wolfsburg30%26%−4 pts
Nürnberg19%16%−3 pts
Heidenheim12%9%−3 pts
Hertha BSC beat Greuther Fürth 2–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 35% to 43%. Wolfsburg drew 4–4 at Nürnberg, and their title chances fell from 30% to 26%. Hertha BSC lead the title race at 43%.
Promotion
Up
- Hertha BSC60%66%+6 pts
- Magdeburg1%5%+4 pts
- St. Pauli6%9%+3 pts
Down
- Heidenheim29%24%−5 pts
- Wolfsburg55%52%−3 pts
- Nürnberg39%36%−3 pts
Hertha BSC beat Greuther Fürth 2–1 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 60% to 66%. Heidenheim drew 0–0 with Kaiserslautern at home, and their promotion chances fell from 29% to 24%.
Relegation
Up
Karlsruher32%41%+9 pts
Holstein Kiel19%24%+5 pts
Cottbus11%16%+5 pts
Down
Braunschweig33%21%−12 pts
Darmstadt16%8%−8 pts
Bielefeld8%3%−5 pts
Karlsruher lost 2–0 at St. Pauli, and their relegation chances rose from 32% to 41%. Braunschweig beat Holstein Kiel 1–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 33% to 21%.
Changes since Matchday 6, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Braunschweig 1–0 Holstein Kiel moved the odds the most. Braunschweig beat Holstein Kiel 1–0 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 33% to 21%. Holstein Kiel lost 1–0 at Braunschweig, and their relegation chances rose from 19% to 24%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Hertha BSC
- Wolfsburg
- Nürnberg
- Heidenheim
- St. Pauli
Show as a table
| Round | Hertha BSC | Wolfsburg | Nürnberg | Heidenheim | St. Pauli |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5% | 31% | 7% | 27% | 12% |
| 2 | 15% | 41% | 12% | 10% | 9% |
| 3 | 16% | 51% | 14% | 11% | 2% |
| 4 | 21% | 37% | 13% | 17% | 2% |
| 5 | 33% | 22% | 18% | 20% | 4% |
| 6 | 35% | 30% | 19% | 12% | 2% |
| 7 | 43% | 26% | 16% | 9% | 3% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | PromotionPromotion | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSCHertha BSC | 21 | 43%+8 pts | 66%+6 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 | Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg | 17 | 16%−3 pts | 36%−3 pts | <1%±0 |
| 3 | Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim | 14 | 9%−3 pts | 24%−5 pts | <1%±0 |
| 4 | Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg | 13 | 1%+1 pt | 5%+4 pts | 1%−1 pt |
| 5 | WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg | 12 | 26%−4 pts | 52%−3 pts | 0%±0 |
| 6 |  KaiserslauternKaiserslautern | 12 | 2%±0 | 7%+1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 7 | St. PauliSt. Pauli | 10 | 3%+1 pt | 9%+3 pts | <1%±0 |
| 8 | CottbusEnergie Cottbus | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 16%+5 pts |
| 9 | BielefeldArminia Bielefeld | 8 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 3%−5 pts |
| 10 |  OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück | 8 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 30%−1 pt |
| 11 | BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 21%−12 pts |
| 12 |  BochumVfL Bochum | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 10%+4 pts |
| 13 |  HannoverHannover 96 | 7 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt | 4%+3 pts |
| 14 | DarmstadtSV Darmstadt 98 | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 8%−8 pts |
| 15 |  Greuther FürthGreuther Fürth | 6 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 21%±0 |
| 16 |  Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden | 5 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 20%±0 |
| 17 | KarlsruherKarlsruher SC | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 41%+9 pts |
| 18 | Holstein KielHolstein Kiel | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 24%+5 pts |
Chances after Matchday 7, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 6 below each.