2. Bundesliga title odds after Matchday 4

After the games up to 6 September 2026

Wolfsburg lead the title race at 37%. Wolfsburg 4–4 Cottbus moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Heidenheim11%17%+6 pts
Hertha BSC16%21%+5 pts
Kaiserslautern2%7%+5 pts

Down

Wolfsburg51%37%−14 pts
Nürnberg14%13%−1 pt
Hannover2%1%−1 pt

Heidenheim won 1–0 at Greuther Fürth, and their title chances rose from 11% to 17%. Wolfsburg drew 4–4 with Cottbus at home, and their title chances fell from 51% to 37%. Wolfsburg lead the title race at 37%.

Promotion

Kaiserslautern8%18%+10 pts
Heidenheim27%35%+8 pts
Hertha BSC36%42%+6 pts

Down

Wolfsburg73%60%−13 pts
Nürnberg35%28%−7 pts
Hannover6%4%−2 pts

Kaiserslautern beat Darmstadt 3–0 at home, and their promotion chances rose from 8% to 18%. Wolfsburg drew 4–4 with Cottbus at home, and their promotion chances fell from 73% to 60%.

Relegation

Braunschweig17%31%+14 pts
Darmstadt5%14%+9 pts
Dynamo Dresden9%16%+7 pts

Down

Osnabrück47%28%−19 pts
Cottbus47%35%−12 pts
Bochum8%4%−4 pts

Braunschweig lost 3–1 at Osnabrück, and their relegation chances rose from 17% to 31%. Osnabrück beat Braunschweig 3–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 47% to 28%.

Changes since Matchday 3, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

VfL Wolfsburg

4–4

Energie Cottbus

Wolfsburg 4–4 Cottbus moved the odds the most. Wolfsburg drew 4–4 with Cottbus at home, and their title chances fell from 51% to 37%. Cottbus drew 4–4 at Wolfsburg, and their relegation chances fell from 47% to 35%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Wolfsburg
Hertha BSC
Heidenheim
Nürnberg
Kaiserslautern

Show as a table

Round	Wolfsburg	Hertha BSC	Heidenheim	Nürnberg	Kaiserslautern
1	31%	5%	27%	7%	3%
2	41%	15%	10%	12%	2%
3	51%	16%	11%	14%	2%
4	37%	21%	17%	13%	7%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	PromotionPromotion	RelegationRelegation
1	Hertha BSCHertha BSC	12	21%+5 pts	42%+6 pts	<1%±0
2	Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg	10	13%−1 pt	28%−7 pts	<1%±0
3	Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim	9	17%+6 pts	35%+8 pts	<1%±0
4	WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg	8	37%−14 pts	60%−13 pts	0%±0
5	KaiserslauternKaiserslautern	8	7%+5 pts	18%+10 pts	<1%−1 pt
6	BochumVfL Bochum	6	1%+1 pt	2%+1 pt	4%−4 pts
7	Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg	6	<1%±0	1%±0	10%+2 pts
8	OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück	6	<1%±0	<1%±0	28%−19 pts
9	KarlsruherKarlsruher SC	5	<1%±0	1%±0	11%−2 pts
10	BielefeldArminia Bielefeld	4	<1%±0	1%−1 pt	7%±0
11	CottbusEnergie Cottbus	4	0%±0	<1%±0	35%−12 pts
12	Greuther FürthGreuther Fürth	4	<1%±0	<1%±0	26%+6 pts
13	HannoverHannover 96	4	1%−1 pt	4%−2 pts	2%±0
14	BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig	3	0%±0	<1%±0	31%+14 pts
15	St. PauliSt. Pauli	3	2%±0	6%−1 pt	1%±0
16	Holstein KielHolstein Kiel	3	<1%±0	<1%−1 pt	14%−1 pt
17	Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden	3	<1%±0	<1%−1 pt	16%+7 pts
18	DarmstadtSV Darmstadt 98	1	<1%±0	<1%−2 pts	14%+9 pts