Liga AUF odds after Matchday 12
After the games up to 19 October 2026
Peñarol lead the Libertadores race at 100%. Albion 2–1 MC Torque moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Libertadores
Up
Racing (M)52%58%+6 pts
Nacional41%46%+5 pts
Liverpool9%12%+3 pts
Racing (M) beat Wanderers 3–0 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 52% to 58%. MC Torque lost 2–1 at Albion, and their Libertadores chances fell from 98% to 86%. Peñarol lead the Libertadores race at 100%.
Changes since Matchday 11, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Albion 2–1 MC Torque moved the odds the most. MC Torque lost 2–1 at Albion, and their Libertadores chances fell from 98% to 86%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The Libertadores race
- Peñarol
- Maldonado
- MC Torque
- Racing (M)
- Nacional
Show as a table
| Round | Peñarol | Maldonado | MC Torque | Racing (M) | Nacional |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 99% | 84% | 43% | 90% | 21% |
| 2 | 100% | 91% | 55% | 96% | 10% |
| 3 | 99% | 90% | 70% | 94% | 9% |
| 4 | 98% | 80% | 82% | 96% | 17% |
| 5 | 100% | 88% | 88% | 91% | 9% |
| 6 | 100% | 86% | 97% | 97% | 6% |
| 7 | 100% | 93% | 99% | 97% | 6% |
| 8 | 100% | 97% | 96% | 89% | 10% |
| 9 | 100% | 97% | 96% | 89% | 10% |
| 10 | 100% | 99% | 92% | 75% | 22% |
| 11 | 100% | 100% | 98% | 52% | 41% |
| 12 | 100% | 99% | 86% | 58% | 46% |
The top five clubs' Libertadores chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | LibertadoresLibertadores |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 64 | 100%±0 | |
| 2 | 59 | 99%−1 pt | |
| 3 | 57 | 86%−12 pts | |
| 4 | 56 | 58%+6 pts | |
| 5 | 56 | 46%+5 pts | |
| 6 | 53 | 12%+3 pts | |
| 7 | 48 | 0%±0 | |
| 8 | 43 | 0%±0 | |
| 9 | 40 | 0%±0 | |
| 10 | 38 | 0%±0 | |
| 11 | 38 | 0%±0 | |
| 12 | 37 | 0%±0 | |
| 13 | 35 | 0%±0 | |
| 14 | 34 | 0%±0 | |
| 15 | 33 | 0%±0 | |
| 16 | 32 | 0%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 12, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 11 below each.