Liga AUF odds after Matchday 10
After the games up to 5 October 2026
Peñarol lead the Libertadores race at 100%. Nacional 2–0 MC Torque moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Libertadores
Down
Racing (M)89%75%−14 pts
MC Torque96%92%−4 pts
Nacional beat MC Torque 2–0 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 10% to 22%. Racing (M) lost 1–0 to Peñarol at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 89% to 75%. Peñarol lead the Libertadores race at 100%.
Changes since Matchday 9, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Nacional 2–0 MC Torque moved the odds the most. Nacional beat MC Torque 2–0 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 10% to 22%. MC Torque lost 2–0 at Nacional, and their Libertadores chances fell from 96% to 92%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The Libertadores race
- Peñarol
- Maldonado
- MC Torque
- Racing (M)
- Nacional
Show as a table
| Round | Peñarol | Maldonado | MC Torque | Racing (M) | Nacional |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 99% | 84% | 43% | 90% | 21% |
| 2 | 100% | 91% | 55% | 96% | 10% |
| 3 | 99% | 90% | 70% | 94% | 9% |
| 4 | 98% | 80% | 82% | 96% | 17% |
| 5 | 100% | 88% | 88% | 91% | 9% |
| 6 | 100% | 86% | 97% | 97% | 6% |
| 7 | 100% | 93% | 99% | 97% | 6% |
| 8 | 100% | 97% | 96% | 89% | 10% |
| 9 | 100% | 97% | 96% | 89% | 10% |
| 10 | 100% | 99% | 92% | 75% | 22% |
The top five clubs' Libertadores chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | LibertadoresLibertadores |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PeñarolPeñarol | 63 | 100%±0 |
| 2 |  MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado | 58 | 99%+2 pts |
| 3 | MC TorqueMontevideo City Torque | 54 | 92%−4 pts |
| 4 | Racing (M)Racing (Montevideo) | 53 | 75%−14 pts |
| 5 |  NacionalNacional | 50 | 22%+12 pts |
| 6 |  LiverpoolLiverpool | 49 | 9%+3 pts |
| 7 |  WanderersMontevideo Wanderers | 48 | 2%+1 pt |
| 8 |  Central EspañolCentral Español Fútbol Club | 38 | 0%±0 |
| 9 |  AlbionAlbion FC | 37 | 0%±0 |
| 10 |  JuventudJuventud | 37 | 0%±0 |
| 11 |  DefensorDefensor Sporting | 35 | 0%±0 |
| 12 |  CerroCerro | 34 | 0%±0 |
| 13 |  Cerro LargoCerro Largo | 33 | 0%±0 |
| 14 |  Boston RiverBoston River | 31 | 0%±0 |
| 15 |  DanubioDanubio | 30 | 0%±0 |
| 16 |  ProgresoProgreso | 28 | 0%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 10, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 9 below each.