Liga AUF odds after Matchday 8
After the games up to 28 September 2026
Peñarol lead the Libertadores race at >99%. Progreso 2–1 Racing (M) moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Libertadores
Down
Racing (M)97%89%−8 pts
MC Torque99%96%−3 pts
Maldonado won 2–0 at MC Torque, and their Libertadores chances rose from 93% to 97%. Racing (M) lost 2–1 at Progreso, and their Libertadores chances fell from 97% to 89%. Peñarol lead the Libertadores race at >99%.
Changes since Matchday 7, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Progreso 2–1 Racing (M) moved the odds the most. Racing (M) lost 2–1 at Progreso, and their Libertadores chances fell from 97% to 89%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The Libertadores race
- Peñarol
- Maldonado
- MC Torque
- Racing (M)
- Nacional
Show as a table
| Round | Peñarol | Maldonado | MC Torque | Racing (M) | Nacional |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 99% | 84% | 43% | 90% | 21% |
| 2 | 100% | 91% | 55% | 96% | 10% |
| 3 | 99% | 90% | 70% | 94% | 9% |
| 4 | 98% | 80% | 82% | 96% | 17% |
| 5 | 100% | 88% | 88% | 91% | 9% |
| 6 | 100% | 86% | 97% | 97% | 6% |
| 7 | 100% | 93% | 99% | 97% | 6% |
| 8 | 100% | 97% | 96% | 89% | 10% |
The top five clubs' Libertadores chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | LibertadoresLibertadores |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 59 | >99%±0 | |
| 2 | 55 | 97%+4 pts | |
| 3 | 53 | 96%−3 pts | |
| 4 | 53 | 89%−8 pts | |
| 5 | 47 | 10%+4 pts | |
| 6 | 46 | 7%+2 pts | |
| 7 | 45 | 1%+1 pt | |
| 8 | 38 | 0%±0 | |
| 9 | 36 | 0%±0 | |
| 10 | 35 | 0%±0 | |
| 11 | 34 | 0%±0 | |
| 12 | 34 | 0%±0 | |
| 13 | 33 | 0%±0 | |
| 14 | 30 | 0%±0 | |
| 15 | 28 | 0%±0 | |
| 16 | 27 | 0%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 8, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 7 below each.