Liga AUF odds after Matchday 11
After the games up to 11 October 2026
Peñarol lead the Libertadores race at 100%. Juventud 2–0 Racing (M) moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Libertadores
Down
Racing (M)75%52%−23 pts
Wanderers2%<1%−2 pts
Nacional won 1–0 at Central Español, and their Libertadores chances rose from 22% to 41%. Racing (M) lost 2–0 at Juventud, and their Libertadores chances fell from 75% to 52%. Peñarol lead the Libertadores race at 100%.
Changes since Matchday 10, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Juventud 2–0 Racing (M) moved the odds the most. Racing (M) lost 2–0 at Juventud, and their Libertadores chances fell from 75% to 52%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The Libertadores race
- Peñarol
- Maldonado
- MC Torque
- Racing (M)
- Nacional
Show as a table
| Round | Peñarol | Maldonado | MC Torque | Racing (M) | Nacional |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 99% | 84% | 43% | 90% | 21% |
| 2 | 100% | 91% | 55% | 96% | 10% |
| 3 | 99% | 90% | 70% | 94% | 9% |
| 4 | 98% | 80% | 82% | 96% | 17% |
| 5 | 100% | 88% | 88% | 91% | 9% |
| 6 | 100% | 86% | 97% | 97% | 6% |
| 7 | 100% | 93% | 99% | 97% | 6% |
| 8 | 100% | 97% | 96% | 89% | 10% |
| 9 | 100% | 97% | 96% | 89% | 10% |
| 10 | 100% | 99% | 92% | 75% | 22% |
| 11 | 100% | 100% | 98% | 52% | 41% |
The top five clubs' Libertadores chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | LibertadoresLibertadores |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 64 | 100%±0 | |
| 2 | 59 | >99%+1 pt | |
| 3 | 57 | 98%+6 pts | |
| 4 | 53 | 52%−23 pts | |
| 5 | 53 | 41%+19 pts | |
| 6 | 50 | 9%±0 | |
| 7 | 48 | <1%−2 pts | |
| 8 | 40 | 0%±0 | |
| 9 | 40 | 0%±0 | |
| 10 | 38 | 0%±0 | |
| 11 | 37 | 0%±0 | |
| 12 | 35 | 0%±0 | |
| 13 | 34 | 0%±0 | |
| 14 | 33 | 0%±0 | |
| 15 | 30 | 0%±0 | |
| 16 | 29 | 0%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 11, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 10 below each.