Liga AUF odds after Matchday 5
After the games up to 7 September 2026
Peñarol lead the Libertadores race at >99%. Maldonado 2–0 Wanderers moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Libertadores
Down
Nacional17%9%−8 pts
Racing (M)96%91%−5 pts
Wanderers7%2%−5 pts
Maldonado beat Wanderers 2–0 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 80% to 88%. Nacional drew 2–2 with Juventud at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 17% to 9%. Peñarol lead the Libertadores race at >99%.
Changes since Matchday 4, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Maldonado 2–0 Wanderers moved the odds the most. Maldonado beat Wanderers 2–0 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 80% to 88%. Wanderers lost 2–0 at Maldonado, and their Libertadores chances fell from 7% to 2%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The Libertadores race
- Peñarol
- Racing (M)
- MC Torque
- Maldonado
- Liverpool
Show as a table
| Round | Peñarol | Racing (M) | MC Torque | Maldonado | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 99% | 90% | 43% | 84% | 12% |
| 2 | 100% | 96% | 55% | 91% | 22% |
| 3 | 99% | 94% | 70% | 90% | 28% |
| 4 | 98% | 96% | 82% | 80% | 20% |
| 5 | 100% | 91% | 88% | 88% | 21% |
The top five clubs' Libertadores chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | LibertadoresLibertadores |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50 | >99%+2 pts | |
| 2 | 49 | 88%+8 pts | |
| 3 | 49 | 91%−5 pts | |
| 4 | 47 | 88%+6 pts | |
| 5 | 42 | 21%+1 pt | |
| 6 | 40 | 9%−8 pts | |
| 7 | 40 | 2%−5 pts | |
| 8 | 37 | <1%−1 pt | |
| 9 | 34 | <1%−1 pt | |
| 10 | 32 | <1%±0 | |
| 11 | 31 | 0%±0 | |
| 12 | 30 | 0%±0 | |
| 13 | 30 | 0%±0 | |
| 14 | 29 | 0%±0 | |
| 15 | 25 | 0%±0 | |
| 16 | 22 | 0%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 5, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 4 below each.