Liga AUF odds after Matchday 4
After the games up to 31 August 2026
Peñarol lead the Libertadores race at 98%. Defensor 1–3 MC Torque moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Libertadores
Down
Maldonado90%80%−10 pts
Liverpool28%20%−8 pts
Central Español3%1%−2 pts
MC Torque won 3–1 at Defensor, and their Libertadores chances rose from 70% to 82%. Maldonado lost 2–0 at Juventud, and their Libertadores chances fell from 90% to 80%. Peñarol lead the Libertadores race at 98%.
Changes since Matchday 3, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Defensor 1–3 MC Torque moved the odds the most. MC Torque won 3–1 at Defensor, and their Libertadores chances rose from 70% to 82%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The Libertadores race
- Peñarol
- Racing (M)
- MC Torque
- Maldonado
- Liverpool
Show as a table
| Round | Peñarol | Racing (M) | MC Torque | Maldonado | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 99% | 90% | 43% | 84% | 12% |
| 2 | 100% | 96% | 55% | 91% | 22% |
| 3 | 99% | 94% | 70% | 90% | 28% |
| 4 | 98% | 96% | 82% | 80% | 20% |
The top five clubs' Libertadores chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | LibertadoresLibertadores |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 49 | 96%+2 pts | |
| 2 | 47 | 98%−1 pt | |
| 3 | 46 | 80%−10 pts | |
| 4 | 44 | 82%+12 pts | |
| 5 | 40 | 7%+3 pts | |
| 6 | 39 | 20%−8 pts | |
| 7 | 39 | 17%+8 pts | |
| 8 | 36 | 1%−2 pts | |
| 9 | 34 | 1%−1 pt | |
| 10 | 32 | <1%±0 | |
| 11 | 30 | 0%±0 | |
| 12 | 30 | 0%±0 | |
| 13 | 28 | 0%±0 | |
| 14 | 27 | 0%±0 | |
| 15 | 25 | 0%±0 | |
| 16 | 19 | 0%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 4, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 3 below each.