Ligue 1 title odds after Matchday 8
After the games up to 26 October 2026
PSG lead the title race at 73%. PSG 2–0 Lyon moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
PSG beat Lyon 2–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 63% to 73%. Lyon lost 2–0 at PSG, and their title chances fell from 12% to 6%. PSG lead the title race at 73%.
Champions League
Rennes beat Strasbourg 3–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 25% to 39%. Lyon lost 2–0 at PSG, and their Champions League chances fell from 64% to 54%.
Changes since Matchday 7, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
PSG 2–0 Lyon moved the odds the most. PSG beat Lyon 2–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 63% to 73%. Lyon lost 2–0 at PSG, and their Champions League chances fell from 64% to 54%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- PSG
- Lyon
- Lens
- Lille
- Monaco
Show as a table
| Round | PSG | Lyon | Lens | Lille | Monaco |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41% | 7% | 25% | 8% | 2% |
| 2 | 47% | 6% | 19% | 9% | 7% |
| 3 | 27% | 11% | 11% | 16% | 17% |
| 4 | 32% | 10% | 6% | 21% | 14% |
| 5 | 40% | 20% | 3% | 8% | 21% |
| 6 | 50% | 13% | 4% | 11% | 14% |
| 7 | 63% | 12% | 5% | 6% | 7% |
| 8 | 73% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSGParis Saint-Germain | 17 | 73%+10 pts | 97%+3 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  RennesRennes | 16 | 3%+1 pt | 39%+14 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  LilleLille | 15 | 4%−2 pts | 46%−1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 4 |  MonacoMonaco | 15 | 4%−3 pts | 46%−4 pts | <1%±0 |
| 5 |  LyonLyon | 14 | 6%−6 pts | 54%−10 pts | 0%±0 |
| 6 |  Paris FCParis FC | 14 | 1%−1 pt | 20%−5 pts | <1%±0 |
| 7 |  LensLens | 13 | 5%±0 | 50%+7 pts | 0%±0 |
| 8 |  MarseilleMarseille | 12 | 3%+1 pt | 36%+6 pts | 0%±0 |
| 9 |  LorientLorient | 12 | <1%±0 | 4%−1 pt | 1%+1 pt |
| 10 |  NiceNice | 11 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 6%−7 pts |
| 11 |  ToulouseToulouse | 10 | <1%±0 | 4%−3 pts | 1%+1 pt |
| 12 |  AuxerreAuxerre | 10 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 9%+2 pts |
| 13 |  BrestBrest | 9 | <1%±0 | 1%−2 pts | 3%+2 pts |
| 14 |  AngersAngers | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 30%+2 pts |
| 15 |  Le MansLe Mans | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 32%−2 pts |
| 16 |  StrasbourgStrasbourg | 7 | 0%±0 | 2%−4 pts | 1%±0 |
| 17 |  TroyesTroyes | 5 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 72%−1 pt |
| 18 |  Le HavreLe Havre | 2 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 46%+5 pts |
Chances after Matchday 8, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 7 below each.