Ligue 1 title odds after Matchday 4
After the games up to 13 September 2026
PSG lead the title race at 32%. Rennes 1–0 Marseille moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
PSG won 1–0 at Brest, and their title chances rose from 27% to 32%. Lens drew 2–2 at Le Mans, and their title chances fell from 11% to 6%. PSG lead the title race at 32%.
Champions League
Down
Lens47%34%−13 pts
Marseille30%20%−10 pts
Strasbourg30%27%−3 pts
Rennes beat Marseille 1–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 30% to 44%. Lens drew 2–2 at Le Mans, and their Champions League chances fell from 47% to 34%.
Changes since Matchday 3, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Rennes 1–0 Marseille moved the odds the most. Rennes beat Marseille 1–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 30% to 44%. Marseille lost 1–0 at Rennes, and their Champions League chances fell from 30% to 20%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- PSG
- Lille
- Monaco
- Lyon
- Rennes
Show as a table
| Round | PSG | Lille | Monaco | Lyon | Rennes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41% | 8% | 2% | 7% | 2% |
| 2 | 47% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 2% |
| 3 | 27% | 16% | 17% | 11% | 5% |
| 4 | 32% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 8% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  LilleLille | 10 | 21%+5 pts | 68%+9 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  MonacoMonaco | 10 | 14%−3 pts | 56%−2 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  RennesRennes | 10 | 8%+3 pts | 44%+14 pts | <1%±0 |
| 4 |  LyonLyon | 8 | 10%−1 pt | 47%−1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 5 |  Paris FCParis FC | 8 | 3%+1 pt | 19%+1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 6 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 7 | 4%−1 pt | 27%−3 pts | <1%±0 |
| 7 |  PSGParis Saint-Germain | 5 | 32%+5 pts | 77%+5 pts | 0%±0 |
| 8 |  BrestBrest | 5 | <1%±0 | 2%±0 | 5%+1 pt |
| 9 |  LorientLorient | 5 | <1%±0 | 3%−1 pt | 2%±0 |
| 10 | LensLens | 4 | 6%−5 pts | 34%−13 pts | <1%±0 |
| 11 |  AngersAngers | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 15%−1 pt |
| 12 |  TroyesTroyes | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 43%+6 pts |
| 13 | MarseilleMarseille | 3 | 3%−2 pts | 20%−10 pts | <1%±0 |
| 14 |  Le MansLe Mans | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 37%−11 pts |
| 15 |  AuxerreAuxerre | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 25%−8 pts |
| 16 |  Le HavreLe Havre | 2 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 19%+3 pts |
| 17 |  ToulouseToulouse | 2 | <1%±0 | 2%+1 pt | 5%±0 |
| 18 |  NiceNice | 2 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 49%+11 pts |
Chances after Matchday 4, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 3 below each.