Ligue 1 title odds after Matchday 5
After the games up to 20 September 2026
PSG lead the title race at 40%. Lyon 4–0 Rennes moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Lyon beat Rennes 4–0 at home, and their title chances rose from 10% to 20%. Lille lost 2–1 at Nice, and their title chances fell from 21% to 8%. PSG lead the title race at 40%.
Champions League
Down
Rennes44%24%−20 pts
Lille68%50%−18 pts
Strasbourg27%19%−8 pts
Lyon beat Rennes 4–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 47% to 73%. Rennes lost 4–0 at Lyon, and their Champions League chances fell from 44% to 24%.
Changes since Matchday 4, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Lyon 4–0 Rennes moved the odds the most. Lyon beat Rennes 4–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 47% to 73%. Rennes lost 4–0 at Lyon, and their Champions League chances fell from 44% to 24%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- PSG
- Monaco
- Lyon
- Lille
- Paris FC
Show as a table
| Round | PSG | Monaco | Lyon | Lille | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41% | 2% | 7% | 8% | <1% |
| 2 | 47% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 1% |
| 3 | 27% | 17% | 11% | 16% | 2% |
| 4 | 32% | 14% | 10% | 21% | 3% |
| 5 | 40% | 21% | 20% | 8% | 3% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  MonacoMonaco | 13 | 21%+7 pts | 71%+15 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  LyonLyon | 11 | 20%+10 pts | 73%+26 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  Paris FCParis FC | 11 | 3%±0 | 29%+10 pts | <1%±0 |
| 4 | LilleLille | 10 | 8%−13 pts | 50%−18 pts | <1%±0 |
| 5 | RennesRennes | 10 | 2%−6 pts | 24%−20 pts | <1%±0 |
| 6 |  PSGParis Saint-Germain | 8 | 40%+8 pts | 87%+10 pts | 0%±0 |
| 7 |  AngersAngers | 7 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 10%−5 pts |
| 8 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 7 | 2%−2 pts | 19%−8 pts | <1%±0 |
| 9 |  Le MansLe Mans | 6 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 28%−9 pts |
| 10 |  AuxerreAuxerre | 6 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 16%−9 pts |
| 11 |  BrestBrest | 5 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt | 9%+4 pts |
| 12 |  LorientLorient | 5 | <1%±0 | 1%−2 pts | 6%+4 pts |
| 13 |  ToulouseToulouse | 5 | <1%±0 | 3%+1 pt | 3%−2 pts |
| 14 |  NiceNice | 5 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 32%−17 pts |
| 15 |  LensLens | 4 | 3%−3 pts | 27%−7 pts | <1%±0 |
| 16 |  TroyesTroyes | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 65%+22 pts |
| 17 |  MarseilleMarseille | 3 | 1%−2 pts | 14%−6 pts | 1%+1 pt |
| 18 |  Le HavreLe Havre | 2 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 29%+10 pts |
Chances after Matchday 5, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 4 below each.