Ligue 1 title odds after Matchday 1
After the games up to 23 August 2026
PSG lead the title race at 41%.
Biggest risers and fallers
This is the season's first report: the changes start with the next round.
The title race
- PSG
- Lens
- Marseille
- Lille
- Lyon
Show as a table
| Round | PSG | Lens | Marseille | Lille | Lyon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41% | 25% | 13% | 8% | 7% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  MarseilleMarseille | 3 | 13% | 63% | <1% |
| 2 |  LensLens | 3 | 25% | 78% | 0% |
| 3 |  LilleLille | 3 | 8% | 52% | <1% |
| 4 |  LyonLyon | 3 | 7% | 48% | <1% |
| 5 |  MonacoMonaco | 3 | 2% | 25% | <1% |
| 6 |  BrestBrest | 1 | <1% | 2% | 9% |
| 7 |  Le MansLe Mans | 1 | 0% | <1% | 52% |
| 8 |  PSGParis Saint-Germain | 1 | 41% | 88% | 0% |
| 9 |  RennesRennes | 1 | 2% | 22% | <1% |
| 10 |  LorientLorient | 1 | <1% | 5% | 3% |
| 11 |  NiceNice | 1 | 0% | <1% | 22% |
| 12 |  Paris FCParis FC | 1 | <1% | 5% | 3% |
| 13 |  TroyesTroyes | 1 | 0% | <1% | 43% |
| 14 |  Le HavreLe Havre | 0 | <1% | <1% | 16% |
| 15 |  AngersAngers | 0 | 0% | <1% | 36% |
| 16 |  ToulouseToulouse | 0 | <1% | 3% | 4% |
| 17 |  AuxerreAuxerre | 0 | <1% | 1% | 10% |
| 18 |  StrasbourgStrasbourg | 0 | <1% | 8% | 2% |
Chances after Matchday 1, from 10,000 simulated seasons.