Ligue 1 title odds after Matchday 6
After the games up to 11 October 2026
PSG lead the title race at 50%. Lens 2–1 Lyon moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
PSG beat Le Mans 3–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 40% to 50%. Monaco drew 2–2 with Toulouse at home, and their title chances fell from 21% to 14%. PSG lead the title race at 50%.
Champions League
Down
Lyon73%61%−12 pts
Paris FC29%18%−11 pts
Strasbourg19%11%−8 pts
Lille beat Le Havre 1–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 50% to 59%. Lyon lost 2–1 at Lens, and their Champions League chances fell from 73% to 61%.
Changes since Matchday 5, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Lens 2–1 Lyon moved the odds the most. Lens beat Lyon 2–1 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 27% to 36%. Lyon lost 2–1 at Lens, and their Champions League chances fell from 73% to 61%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- PSG
- Monaco
- Lyon
- Lille
- Lens
Show as a table
| Round | PSG | Monaco | Lyon | Lille | Lens |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 25% |
| 2 | 47% | 7% | 6% | 9% | 19% |
| 3 | 27% | 17% | 11% | 16% | 11% |
| 4 | 32% | 14% | 10% | 21% | 6% |
| 5 | 40% | 21% | 20% | 8% | 3% |
| 6 | 50% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 4% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  MonacoMonaco | 14 | 14%−7 pts | 65%−6 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  LilleLille | 13 | 11%+3 pts | 59%+9 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  RennesRennes | 13 | 4%+2 pts | 32%+8 pts | <1%±0 |
| 4 | LyonLyon | 11 | 13%−7 pts | 61%−12 pts | 0%±0 |
| 5 | Paris FCParis FC | 11 | 1%−2 pts | 18%−11 pts | <1%±0 |
| 6 |  PSGParis Saint-Germain | 11 | 50%+10 pts | 91%+4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 7 |  BrestBrest | 8 | <1%±0 | 3%+2 pts | 2%−7 pts |
| 8 |  LorientLorient | 8 | <1%±0 | 3%+2 pts | 2%−4 pts |
| 9 |  NiceNice | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 16%−16 pts |
| 10 |  LensLens | 7 | 4%+1 pt | 36%+9 pts | <1%±0 |
| 11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 7 | 1%−1 pt | 11%−8 pts | <1%±0 |
| 12 |  AngersAngers | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 23%+13 pts |
| 13 |  MarseilleMarseille | 6 | 1%±0 | 19%+5 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 14 |  Le MansLe Mans | 6 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 24%−4 pts |
| 15 |  ToulouseToulouse | 6 | <1%±0 | 4%+1 pt | 2%−1 pt |
| 16 |  AuxerreAuxerre | 6 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 22%+6 pts |
| 17 |  TroyesTroyes | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 75%+10 pts |
| 18 |  Le HavreLe Havre | 2 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 32%+3 pts |
Chances after Matchday 6, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 5 below each.