Ligue 1 title odds after Matchday 2
After the games up to 30 August 2026
PSG lead the title race at 47%. Monaco 2–0 Marseille moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
PSG drew 2–2 at Lille, and their title chances rose from 41% to 47%. Lens lost 2–1 at Strasbourg, and their title chances fell from 25% to 19%. PSG lead the title race at 47%.
Champions League
Up
Monaco25%44%+19 pts
Strasbourg8%17%+9 pts
Paris FC5%14%+9 pts
Monaco beat Marseille 2–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 25% to 44%. Marseille lost 2–0 at Monaco, and their Champions League chances fell from 63% to 47%.
Changes since Matchday 1, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Monaco 2–0 Marseille moved the odds the most. Monaco beat Marseille 2–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 25% to 44%. Marseille lost 2–0 at Monaco, and their Champions League chances fell from 63% to 47%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- PSG
- Lens
- Lille
- Marseille
- Monaco
Show as a table
| Round | PSG | Lens | Lille | Marseille | Monaco |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41% | 25% | 8% | 13% | 2% |
| 2 | 47% | 19% | 9% | 8% | 7% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 7%+5 pts | 44%+19 pts | <1%±0 |
| 2 | Paris FCParis FC | 4 | 1%+1 pt | 14%+9 pts | 1%−2 pts |
| 3 |  LilleLille | 4 | 9%+1 pt | 51%−1 pt | <1%±0 |
| 4 |  LyonLyon | 4 | 6%−1 pt | 41%−7 pts | <1%±0 |
| 5 |  RennesRennes | 4 | 2%±0 | 22%±0 | <1%±0 |
| 6 |  TroyesTroyes | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 24%−19 pts |
| 7 |  LensLens | 3 | 19%−6 pts | 68%−10 pts | <1%±0 |
| 8 |  MarseilleMarseille | 3 | 8%−5 pts | 47%−16 pts | <1%±0 |
| 9 |  AngersAngers | 3 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 14%−22 pts |
| 10 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 3 | 1%+1 pt | 17%+9 pts | 1%−1 pt |
| 11 |  BrestBrest | 2 | <1%±0 | 1%−1 pt | 10%+1 pt |
| 12 |  PSGParis Saint-Germain | 2 | 47%+6 pts | 88%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 13 |  Le MansLe Mans | 1 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 53%+1 pt |
| 14 |  Le HavreLe Havre | 1 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 14%−2 pts |
| 15 |  LorientLorient | 1 | <1%±0 | 2%−3 pts | 8%+5 pts |
| 16 |  ToulouseToulouse | 1 | <1%±0 | 3%±0 | 4%±0 |
| 17 |  NiceNice | 1 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 42%+20 pts |
| 18 |  AuxerreAuxerre | 0 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 28%+18 pts |
Chances after Matchday 2, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 1 below each.