Ligue 1 title odds after Matchday 3
After the games up to 6 September 2026
PSG lead the title race at 27%. PSG 1–2 Monaco moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Monaco won 2–1 at PSG, and their title chances rose from 7% to 17%. PSG lost 2–1 to Monaco at home, and their title chances fell from 47% to 27%. PSG lead the title race at 27%.
Champions League
Up
Monaco44%58%+14 pts
Strasbourg17%30%+13 pts
Lille51%59%+8 pts
Monaco won 2–1 at PSG, and their Champions League chances rose from 44% to 58%. Lens lost 1–0 to Lorient at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 68% to 47%.
Changes since Matchday 2, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
PSG 1–2 Monaco moved the odds the most. PSG lost 2–1 to Monaco at home, and their title chances fell from 47% to 27%. Monaco won 2–1 at PSG, and their Champions League chances rose from 44% to 58%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- PSG
- Monaco
- Lille
- Lyon
- Lens
Show as a table
| Round | PSG | Monaco | Lille | Lyon | Lens |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41% | 2% | 8% | 7% | 25% |
| 2 | 47% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 19% |
| 3 | 27% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 11% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MonacoMonaco | 9 | 17%+10 pts | 58%+14 pts | <1%±0 |
| 2 |  LyonLyon | 7 | 11%+5 pts | 48%+7 pts | <1%±0 |
| 3 |  Paris FCParis FC | 7 | 2%+1 pt | 18%+4 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 4 | LilleLille | 7 | 16%+7 pts | 59%+8 pts | <1%±0 |
| 5 |  RennesRennes | 7 | 5%+3 pts | 30%+8 pts | <1%±0 |
| 6 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 6 | 5%+4 pts | 30%+13 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 7 |  BrestBrest | 5 | <1%±0 | 2%+1 pt | 4%−6 pts |
| 8 |  LorientLorient | 4 | <1%±0 | 4%+2 pts | 2%−6 pts |
| 9 |  TroyesTroyes | 4 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 37%+13 pts |
| 10 |  LensLens | 3 | 11%−8 pts | 47%−21 pts | <1%±0 |
| 11 |  MarseilleMarseille | 3 | 5%−3 pts | 30%−17 pts | <1%±0 |
| 12 |  AngersAngers | 3 | 0%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 16%+2 pts |
| 13 |  Le MansLe Mans | 2 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 48%−5 pts |
| 14 |  PSGParis Saint-Germain | 2 | 27%−20 pts | 72%−16 pts | 0%±0 |
| 15 |  NiceNice | 2 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 38%−4 pts |
| 16 |  Le HavreLe Havre | 1 | 0%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 16%+2 pts |
| 17 |  ToulouseToulouse | 1 | <1%±0 | 1%−2 pts | 5%+1 pt |
| 18 |  AuxerreAuxerre | 0 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 33%+5 pts |
Chances after Matchday 3, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 2 below each.