Ligue 1 title odds after Matchday 7
After the games up to 18 October 2026
PSG lead the title race at 63%. Lorient 1–0 Monaco moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
PSG won 3–1 at Strasbourg, and their title chances rose from 50% to 63%. Monaco lost 1–0 at Lorient, and their title chances fell from 14% to 7%. PSG lead the title race at 63%.
Champions League
Marseille won 5–2 at Angers, and their Champions League chances rose from 19% to 30%. Monaco lost 1–0 at Lorient, and their Champions League chances fell from 65% to 50%.
Changes since Matchday 6, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Lorient 1–0 Monaco moved the odds the most. Lorient beat Monaco 1–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 3% to 5%. Monaco lost 1–0 at Lorient, and their Champions League chances fell from 65% to 50%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- PSG
- Lyon
- Monaco
- Lille
- Lens
Show as a table
| Round | PSG | Lyon | Monaco | Lille | Lens |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 25% |
| 2 | 47% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 19% |
| 3 | 27% | 11% | 17% | 16% | 11% |
| 4 | 32% | 10% | 14% | 21% | 6% |
| 5 | 40% | 20% | 21% | 8% | 3% |
| 6 | 50% | 13% | 14% | 11% | 4% |
| 7 | 63% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 5% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  LyonLyon | 14 | 12%−1 pt | 64%+3 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  PSGParis Saint-Germain | 14 | 63%+13 pts | 94%+3 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 |  LilleLille | 14 | 6%−5 pts | 47%−12 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 |  Paris FCParis FC | 14 | 2%+1 pt | 25%+7 pts | <1%±0 |
| 5 |  MonacoMonaco | 14 | 7%−7 pts | 50%−15 pts | <1%±0 |
| 6 |  RennesRennes | 13 | 2%−2 pts | 25%−7 pts | <1%±0 |
| 7 |  LorientLorient | 11 | <1%±0 | 5%+2 pts | <1%−2 pts |
| 8 |  LensLens | 10 | 5%+1 pt | 43%+7 pts | <1%±0 |
| 9 |  MarseilleMarseille | 9 | 2%+1 pt | 30%+11 pts | <1%±0 |
| 10 |  BrestBrest | 9 | <1%±0 | 3%±0 | 1%−1 pt |
| 11 |  ToulouseToulouse | 9 | <1%±0 | 7%+3 pts | <1%−2 pts |
| 12 |  AuxerreAuxerre | 9 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 7%−15 pts |
| 13 |  NiceNice | 8 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 13%−3 pts |
| 14 |  StrasbourgStrasbourg | 7 | <1%−1 pt | 6%−5 pts | 1%+1 pt |
| 15 |  AngersAngers | 7 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 28%+5 pts |
| 16 |  Le MansLe Mans | 6 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 34%+10 pts |
| 17 |  TroyesTroyes | 4 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 73%−2 pts |
| 18 |  Le HavreLe Havre | 2 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 41%+9 pts |
Chances after Matchday 7, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 6 below each.