Bundesliga title odds after Matchday 8

After the games up to 1 November 2026Latest

Bayern lead the title race at 91%. Leverkusen 2–4 Stuttgart moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Dortmund5%8%+3 pts
RB Leipzig<1%1%+1 pt

Down

Bayern94%91%−3 pts

Dortmund drew 2–2 at Bayern, and their title chances rose from 5% to 8%. Bayern drew 2–2 with Dortmund at home, and their title chances fell from 94% to 91%. Bayern lead the title race at 91%.

Champions League

Freiburg30%44%+14 pts
Stuttgart12%24%+12 pts
RB Leipzig69%78%+9 pts

Down

Leverkusen67%39%−28 pts
Hoffenheim11%4%−7 pts
Augsburg4%2%−2 pts

Freiburg won 2–1 at Augsburg, and their Champions League chances rose from 30% to 44%. Leverkusen lost 4–2 to Stuttgart at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 67% to 39%.

Relegation

Schalke41%49%+8 pts
Gladbach40%46%+6 pts
Hamburg14%17%+3 pts

Down

Paderborn41%34%−7 pts
Elversberg10%3%−7 pts
Köln12%9%−3 pts

Schalke lost 2–0 to RB Leipzig at home, and their relegation chances rose from 41% to 49%. Paderborn drew 0–0 at Gladbach, and their relegation chances fell from 41% to 34%.

Changes since Matchday 7, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Bayer Leverkusen

2–4

VfB Stuttgart

Leverkusen 2–4 Stuttgart moved the odds the most. Leverkusen lost 4–2 to Stuttgart at home, and their Champions League chances fell from 67% to 39%. Stuttgart won 4–2 at Leverkusen, and their Champions League chances rose from 12% to 24%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Bayern
Dortmund
RB Leipzig
Freiburg
Leverkusen

Show as a table

Round	Bayern	Dortmund	RB Leipzig	Freiburg	Leverkusen
1	87%	9%	2%	<1%	<1%
2	83%	14%	1%	<1%	1%
3	82%	15%	1%	1%	1%
4	83%	15%	<1%	<1%	1%
5	85%	11%	2%	<1%	2%
6	91%	7%	<1%	<1%	2%
7	94%	5%	<1%	<1%	<1%
8	91%	8%	1%	<1%	<1%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	Champions LeagueChampions League	RelegationRelegation
1	BayernBayern Munich	18	91%−3 pts	>99%±0	0%±0
2	DortmundBorussia Dortmund	18	8%+3 pts	96%+1 pt	0%±0
3	FreiburgFreiburg	16	<1%±0	44%+14 pts	<1%±0
4	RB LeipzigRB Leipzig	15	1%+1 pt	78%+9 pts	0%±0
5	Werder BremenWerder Bremen	15	0%±0	9%+3 pts	<1%−1 pt
6	LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen	13	<1%±0	39%−28 pts	<1%±0
7	ElversbergSV Elversberg	13	0%±0	1%±0	3%−7 pts
8	FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt	11	0%±0	3%+1 pt	2%−2 pts
9	MainzMainz 05	10	0%±0	1%−2 pts	5%+2 pts
10	AugsburgAugsburg	9	0%±0	2%−2 pts	2%+1 pt
11	StuttgartVfB Stuttgart	9	<1%±0	24%+12 pts	<1%±0
12	HoffenheimHoffenheim	9	0%±0	4%−7 pts	1%+1 pt
13	KölnFC Köln	9	0%±0	<1%±0	9%−3 pts
14	PaderbornPaderborn	9	0%±0	0%±0	34%−7 pts
15	HamburgHamburger SV	9	0%±0	<1%±0	17%+3 pts
16	Union BerlinUnion Berlin	7	0%±0	<1%±0	33%±0
17	SchalkeSchalke 04	6	0%±0	0%±0	49%+8 pts
18	GladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach	4	0%±0	0%±0	46%+6 pts

Chances after Matchday 8, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 7 below each.

Round	Bayern	Dortmund	RB Leipzig	Freiburg	Leverkusen
1	87%	9%	2%	<1%	<1%
2	83%	14%	1%	<1%	1%
3	82%	15%	1%	1%	1%
4	83%	15%	<1%	<1%	1%
5	85%	11%	2%	<1%	2%
6	91%	7%	<1%	<1%	2%
7	94%	5%	<1%	<1%	<1%
8	91%	8%	1%	<1%	<1%

Round	Bayern	Dortmund	RB Leipzig	Freiburg	Leverkusen
1	87%	9%	2%	<1%	<1%
2	83%	14%	1%	<1%	1%
3	82%	15%	1%	1%	1%
4	83%	15%	<1%	<1%	1%
5	85%	11%	2%	<1%	2%
6	91%	7%	<1%	<1%	2%
7	94%	5%	<1%	<1%	<1%
8	91%	8%	1%	<1%	<1%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Champions League

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Bayern	Dortmund	RB Leipzig	Freiburg	Leverkusen
1	87%	9%	2%	<1%	<1%
2	83%	14%	1%	<1%	1%
3	82%	15%	1%	1%	1%
4	83%	15%	<1%	<1%	1%
5	85%	11%	2%	<1%	2%
6	91%	7%	<1%	<1%	2%
7	94%	5%	<1%	<1%	<1%
8	91%	8%	1%	<1%	<1%