Bundesliga title odds after Matchday 1
After the games up to 30 August 2026
Bayern lead the title race at 87%.
Biggest risers and fallers
This is the season's first report: the changes start with the next round.
The title race
- Bayern
- Dortmund
- RB Leipzig
- Stuttgart
- Leverkusen
Show as a table
| Round | Bayern | Dortmund | RB Leipzig | Stuttgart | Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 87% | 9% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  BayernBayern Munich | 3 | 87% | >99% | 0% |
| 2 |  FreiburgFreiburg | 3 | <1% | 14% | 1% |
| 3 |  AugsburgAugsburg | 3 | <1% | 6% | 2% |
| 4 |  RB LeipzigRB Leipzig | 3 | 2% | 64% | 0% |
| 5 |  DortmundBorussia Dortmund | 3 | 9% | 89% | 0% |
| 6 |  KölnFC Köln | 3 | <1% | 6% | 2% |
| 7 |  ElversbergSV Elversberg | 3 | 0% | <1% | 24% |
| 8 |  FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt | 1 | <1% | 12% | 1% |
| 9 |  Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 1 | 0% | 2% | 8% |
| 10 |  MainzMainz 05 | 1 | <1% | 3% | 5% |
| 11 |  PaderbornPaderborn | 1 | 0% | <1% | 53% |
| 12 |  LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen | 0 | <1% | 32% | <1% |
| 13 |  HoffenheimHoffenheim | 0 | <1% | 25% | <1% |
| 14 |  HamburgHamburger SV | 0 | 0% | 1% | 10% |
| 15 |  Werder BremenWerder Bremen | 0 | 0% | <1% | 24% |
| 16 |  GladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0% | 1% | 10% |
| 17 |  SchalkeSchalke 04 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 59% |
| 18 |  StuttgartVfB Stuttgart | 0 | 1% | 42% | <1% |
Chances after Matchday 1, from 10,000 simulated seasons.