Bundesliga title odds after Matchday 2
After the games up to 6 September 2026
Bayern lead the title race at 83%. Werder Bremen 3–1 RB Leipzig moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Dortmund9%14%+5 pts
Leverkusen<1%1%+1 pt
Down
Bayern87%83%−4 pts
RB Leipzig2%1%−1 pt
Dortmund won 3–2 at Hoffenheim, and their title chances rose from 9% to 14%. Bayern drew 0–0 at Schalke, and their title chances fell from 87% to 83%. Bayern lead the title race at 83%.
Champions League
Up
- Leverkusen32%48%+16 pts
Mainz3%14%+11 pts
Stuttgart42%52%+10 pts
Down
- RB Leipzig64%37%−27 pts
Hoffenheim25%13%−12 pts
Frankfurt12%2%−10 pts
Leverkusen beat Union Berlin 4–0 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 32% to 48%. RB Leipzig lost 3–1 at Werder Bremen, and their Champions League chances fell from 64% to 37%.
Relegation
Down
Elversberg24%7%−17 pts
Werder Bremen24%9%−15 pts
Schalke59%51%−8 pts
Hamburg lost 5–0 to Mainz at home, and their relegation chances rose from 10% to 32%. Elversberg won 4–3 at Gladbach, and their relegation chances fell from 24% to 7%.
Changes since Matchday 1, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Werder Bremen 3–1 RB Leipzig moved the odds the most. Werder Bremen beat RB Leipzig 3–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 24% to 9%. RB Leipzig lost 3–1 at Werder Bremen, and their Champions League chances fell from 64% to 37%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Bayern
- Dortmund
- Stuttgart
- Leverkusen
- RB Leipzig
Show as a table
| Round | Bayern | Dortmund | Stuttgart | Leverkusen | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 87% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 2% |
| 2 | 83% | 14% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AugsburgAugsburg | 6 | <1%±0 | 16%+10 pts | <1%−2 pts |
| 2 |  FreiburgFreiburg | 6 | <1%±0 | 21%+7 pts | <1%−1 pt |
| 3 | DortmundBorussia Dortmund | 6 | 14%+5 pts | 91%+2 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 | ElversbergSV Elversberg | 6 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 7%−17 pts |
| 5 | MainzMainz 05 | 4 | <1%±0 | 14%+11 pts | <1%−5 pts |
| 6 | BayernBayern Munich | 4 | 83%−4 pts | >99%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 7 | LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen | 3 | 1%+1 pt | 48%+16 pts | <1%±0 |
| 8 | RB LeipzigRB Leipzig | 3 | 1%−1 pt | 37%−27 pts | <1%±0 |
| 9 | StuttgartVfB Stuttgart | 3 | 1%±0 | 52%+10 pts | <1%±0 |
| 10 | Werder BremenWerder Bremen | 3 | 0%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 9%−15 pts |
| 11 |  KölnFC Köln | 3 | <1%±0 | 3%−3 pts | 4%+2 pts |
| 12 |  PaderbornPaderborn | 1 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 62%+9 pts |
| 13 | FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt | 1 | <1%±0 | 2%−10 pts | 5%+4 pts |
| 14 | SchalkeSchalke 04 | 1 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 51%−8 pts |
| 15 |  Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 1 | 0%±0 | 1%−1 pt | 13%+5 pts |
| 16 | HoffenheimHoffenheim | 0 | <1%±0 | 13%−12 pts | 1%+1 pt |
| 17 |  GladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 16%+6 pts |
| 18 |  HamburgHamburger SV | 0 | 0%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 32%+22 pts |
Chances after Matchday 2, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 1 below each.