Liga 1 odds after Matchday 4
After the games up to 9 August 2026
Alianza Lima lead the Libertadores race at 100%. Melgar 2–4 Cajamarca moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Libertadores
Up
Los Chankas36%46%+10 pts
Garcilaso7%15%+8 pts
Cienciano34%35%+1 pt
Down
Melgar43%26%−17 pts
Cusco18%14%−4 pts
Universitario62%61%−1 pt
Los Chankas drew 1–1 at Huancayo, and their Libertadores chances rose from 36% to 46%. Melgar lost 4–2 to Cajamarca at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 43% to 26%. Alianza Lima lead the Libertadores race at 100%.
Relegation
Up
–
Down
–
No club's chances moved by a point or more.
Changes since Matchday 3, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Melgar 2–4 Cajamarca moved the odds the most. Melgar lost 4–2 to Cajamarca at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 43% to 26%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The Libertadores race
- Alianza Lima
- Universitario
- Los Chankas
- Cienciano
- Melgar
Show as a table
| Round | Alianza Lima | Universitario | Los Chankas | Cienciano | Melgar |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100% | 68% | 36% | 37% | 39% |
| 2 | 100% | 78% | 30% | 23% | 50% |
| 3 | 100% | 62% | 36% | 34% | 43% |
| 4 | 100% | 61% | 46% | 35% | 26% |
The top five clubs' Libertadores chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | LibertadoresLibertadores | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza LimaAlianza Lima | 48 | 100%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 2 | Los ChankasLos Chankas | 41 | 46%+10 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 | CiencianoCienciano del Cusco | 36 | 35%+1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 4 | UniversitarioUniversitario | 36 | 61%−1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 5 | MelgarMelgar | 35 | 26%−17 pts | 0%±0 |
| 6 | GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso | 35 | 15%+8 pts | 0%±0 |
| 7 | CuscoCusco FC | 33 | 14%−4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 8 |  Alianza AtlAlianza Atlético | 27 | 1%+1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 9 |  Sport BoysSport Boys | 27 | <1%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 10 |  Sporting CristalSporting Cristal | 26 | 1%+1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 11 |  Comer UnidComerciantes Unidos | 26 | <1%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 12 |  HuancayoSport Huancayo | 23 | <1%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 13 |  ADTADT | 21 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 14 |  CajamarcaFC Cajamarca | 21 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 15 |  MoqueguaDeportivo Moquegua | 21 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 16 |  Juan Pablo IIJuan Pablo II | 21 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 17 |  Atlético GrauAtlético Grau | 20 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 18 |  UTCUTC | 15 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 4, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 3 below each.