Liga 1 odds after Matchday 12
After the games up to 18 October 2026
Alianza Lima lead the Libertadores race at 100%. Melgar 4–2 Garcilaso moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Libertadores
Up
Melgar50%70%+20 pts
Universitario86%97%+11 pts
Cienciano4%5%+1 pt
Down
Garcilaso42%22%−20 pts
Cusco10%3%−7 pts
Alianza Atl5%1%−4 pts
Melgar beat Garcilaso 4–2 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 50% to 70%. Garcilaso lost 4–2 at Melgar, and their Libertadores chances fell from 42% to 22%. Alianza Lima lead the Libertadores race at 100%.
Relegation
Up
–
Down
–
No club's chances moved by a point or more.
Changes since Matchday 11, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Melgar 4–2 Garcilaso moved the odds the most. Melgar beat Garcilaso 4–2 at home, and their Libertadores chances rose from 50% to 70%. Garcilaso lost 4–2 at Melgar, and their Libertadores chances fell from 42% to 22%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The Libertadores race
- Alianza Lima
- Universitario
- Melgar
- Garcilaso
- Cienciano
Show as a table
| Round | Alianza Lima | Universitario | Melgar | Garcilaso | Cienciano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100% | 68% | 39% | 3% | 37% |
| 2 | 100% | 78% | 50% | 4% | 23% |
| 3 | 100% | 62% | 43% | 7% | 34% |
| 4 | 100% | 61% | 26% | 15% | 35% |
| 5 | 100% | 72% | 46% | 15% | 25% |
| 6 | 100% | 82% | 43% | 25% | 14% |
| 7 | 100% | 90% | 27% | 48% | 5% |
| 8 | 100% | 78% | 30% | 55% | 9% |
| 9 | 100% | 92% | 52% | 37% | 9% |
| 10 | 100% | 82% | 33% | 61% | 8% |
| 11 | 100% | 86% | 50% | 42% | 4% |
| 12 | 100% | 97% | 70% | 22% | 5% |
The top five clubs' Libertadores chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | LibertadoresLibertadores | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza LimaAlianza Lima | 62 | 100%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 2 | UniversitarioUniversitario | 53 | 97%+11 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 | MelgarMelgar | 50 | 70%+20 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 | GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso | 48 | 22%−20 pts | 0%±0 |
| 5 | CiencianoCienciano del Cusco | 47 | 5%+1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 6 |  Los ChankasLos Chankas | 46 | 1%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 7 | CuscoCusco FC | 45 | 3%−7 pts | 0%±0 |
| 8 |  Sporting CristalSporting Cristal | 44 | 2%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 9 | Alianza AtlAlianza Atlético | 43 | 1%−4 pts | 0%±0 |
| 10 |  HuancayoSport Huancayo | 41 | <1%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 11 |  Sport BoysSport Boys | 38 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo IIJuan Pablo II | 38 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 13 |  Atlético GrauAtlético Grau | 33 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 14 |  Comer UnidComerciantes Unidos | 31 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 15 |  CajamarcaFC Cajamarca | 28 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 16 |  MoqueguaDeportivo Moquegua | 28 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 17 |  ADTADT | 26 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 18 |  UTCUTC | 15 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 12, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 11 below each.