Liga 1 odds after Matchday 13
After the games up to 25 October 2026
Alianza Lima lead the Libertadores race at 100%. UTC 1–2 Melgar moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Libertadores
Up
Melgar70%80%+10 pts
Down
Cienciano5%<1%−5 pts
Garcilaso22%20%−2 pts
Sporting Cristal2%<1%−2 pts
Melgar won 2–1 at UTC, and their Libertadores chances rose from 70% to 80%. Cienciano lost 3–1 at Comer Unid, and their Libertadores chances fell from 5% to <1%. Alianza Lima lead the Libertadores race at 100%.
Relegation
Up
–
Down
–
No club's chances moved by a point or more.
Changes since Matchday 12, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
UTC 1–2 Melgar moved the odds the most. Melgar won 2–1 at UTC, and their Libertadores chances rose from 70% to 80%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The Libertadores race
- Alianza Lima
- Universitario
- Melgar
- Garcilaso
- Cusco
Show as a table
| Round | Alianza Lima | Universitario | Melgar | Garcilaso | Cusco |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100% | 68% | 39% | 3% | 16% |
| 2 | 100% | 78% | 50% | 4% | 14% |
| 3 | 100% | 62% | 43% | 7% | 18% |
| 4 | 100% | 61% | 26% | 15% | 14% |
| 5 | 100% | 72% | 46% | 15% | 16% |
| 6 | 100% | 82% | 43% | 25% | 11% |
| 7 | 100% | 90% | 27% | 48% | 19% |
| 8 | 100% | 78% | 30% | 55% | 21% |
| 9 | 100% | 92% | 52% | 37% | 8% |
| 10 | 100% | 82% | 33% | 61% | 14% |
| 11 | 100% | 86% | 50% | 42% | 10% |
| 12 | 100% | 97% | 70% | 22% | 3% |
| 13 | 100% | 97% | 80% | 20% | 3% |
The top five clubs' Libertadores chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | LibertadoresLibertadores | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza LimaAlianza Lima | 65 | 100%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  UniversitarioUniversitario | 56 | 97%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 3 | MelgarMelgar | 53 | 80%+10 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 | GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso | 51 | 20%−2 pts | 0%±0 |
| 5 |  CuscoCusco FC | 48 | 3%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 6 | CiencianoCienciano del Cusco | 47 | <1%−5 pts | 0%±0 |
| 7 |  Los ChankasLos Chankas | 46 | <1%−1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 8 | Sporting CristalSporting Cristal | 44 | <1%−2 pts | 0%±0 |
| 9 |  HuancayoSport Huancayo | 44 | <1%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 10 |  Alianza AtlAlianza Atlético | 43 | <1%−1 pt | 0%±0 |
| 11 |  Sport BoysSport Boys | 41 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo IIJuan Pablo II | 38 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 13 |  Comer UnidComerciantes Unidos | 34 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 14 |  Atlético GrauAtlético Grau | 34 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 15 |  CajamarcaFC Cajamarca | 28 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 16 |  MoqueguaDeportivo Moquegua | 28 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 17 |  ADTADT | 27 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 18 |  UTCUTC | 15 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 13, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 12 below each.