Liga 1 odds after Matchday 5
After the games up to 16 August 2026
Alianza Lima lead the Libertadores race at 100%. Los Chankas 0–3 Melgar moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Libertadores
Up
Melgar26%46%+20 pts
Universitario61%72%+11 pts
Cusco14%16%+2 pts
Down
Los Chankas46%25%−21 pts
Cienciano35%25%−10 pts
Melgar won 3–0 at Los Chankas, and their Libertadores chances rose from 26% to 46%. Los Chankas lost 3–0 to Melgar at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 46% to 25%. Alianza Lima lead the Libertadores race at 100%.
Relegation
Up
–
Down
–
No club's chances moved by a point or more.
Changes since Matchday 4, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Los Chankas 0–3 Melgar moved the odds the most. Los Chankas lost 3–0 to Melgar at home, and their Libertadores chances fell from 46% to 25%. Melgar won 3–0 at Los Chankas, and their Libertadores chances rose from 26% to 46%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The Libertadores race
- Alianza Lima
- Universitario
- Melgar
- Los Chankas
- Cienciano
Show as a table
| Round | Alianza Lima | Universitario | Melgar | Los Chankas | Cienciano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100% | 68% | 39% | 36% | 37% |
| 2 | 100% | 78% | 50% | 30% | 23% |
| 3 | 100% | 62% | 43% | 36% | 34% |
| 4 | 100% | 61% | 26% | 46% | 35% |
| 5 | 100% | 72% | 46% | 25% | 25% |
The top five clubs' Libertadores chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | LibertadoresLibertadores | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza LimaAlianza Lima | 51 | 100%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 2 | Los ChankasLos Chankas | 41 | 25%−21 pts | 0%±0 |
| 3 | UniversitarioUniversitario | 39 | 72%+11 pts | 0%±0 |
| 4 | MelgarMelgar | 38 | 46%+20 pts | 0%±0 |
| 5 | CiencianoCienciano del Cusco | 37 | 25%−10 pts | 0%±0 |
| 6 |  GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso | 36 | 15%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 7 | CuscoCusco FC | 36 | 16%+2 pts | 0%±0 |
| 8 |  Sporting CristalSporting Cristal | 29 | 1%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 9 |  Alianza AtlAlianza Atlético | 28 | 1%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 10 |  Sport BoysSport Boys | 28 | <1%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 11 |  Comer UnidComerciantes Unidos | 26 | <1%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 12 |  Atlético GrauAtlético Grau | 23 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 13 |  HuancayoSport Huancayo | 23 | <1%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 14 |  ADTADT | 22 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 15 |  MoqueguaDeportivo Moquegua | 22 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 16 |  CajamarcaFC Cajamarca | 21 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 17 |  Juan Pablo IIJuan Pablo II | 21 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
| 18 |  UTCUTC | 15 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 |
Chances after Matchday 5, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 4 below each.