Derby Countyvs
Millwall
Prediction, odds and simulated scores · Championship · Matchday 27
Pride Park
Prediction
Derby win
33%
Draw
26%
Millwall win
41%
Expected goals
Derby1.38 – 1.58Millwall
Most likely scores
- 1–112%
- 1–29%
- 2–18%
- 0–17%
- 0–26%
Roll a likely score
–
One of the likeliest scores, picked the way the simulator's dice picks it.
From the match model: each side's attack and defence, rated from this season's results (starting from last season's), and home advantage.
What this result means
NowDerby win2–1Draw1–1Millwall win1–2
Derby: Relegation
61%52%−9 pts62%+1 pt67%+6 ptsMillwall: Average finish
11.712.4+0.711.9+0.211.0−0.7
Each result played out over 10,000 simulated seasons, with its likeliest score; every other game is simulated the same way each time, so the change is this result's alone.
Average finish: the club's mean final place over the simulated seasons (lower is better).