Lincoln Cityvs
Derby County
Prediction, odds and simulated scores · Championship · Matchday 40
LNER Stadium
Prediction
Lincoln City win
40%
Draw
27%
Derby win
33%
Expected goals
Lincoln City1.47 – 1.31Derby
Most likely scores
- 1–113%
- 2–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 0–17%
Roll a likely score
–
One of the likeliest scores, picked the way the simulator's dice picks it.
From the match model: each side's attack and defence, rated from this season's results (starting from last season's), and home advantage.
What this result means
NowLincoln City win2–1Draw1–1Derby win1–2
Lincoln City: Relegation
35%27%−8 pts37%+2 pts44%+9 ptsDerby: Relegation
61%68%+7 pts62%+1 pt51%−10 pts
Each result played out over 10,000 simulated seasons, with its likeliest score; every other game is simulated the same way each time, so the change is this result's alone.