Stoke Cityvs
Derby County
Prediction, odds and simulated scores · Championship · Matchday 26
bet365 Stadium
Prediction
Stoke win
56%
Draw
24%
Derby win
20%
Expected goals
Stoke1.82 – 1.00Derby
Most likely scores
- 1–112%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 0–07%
Roll a likely score
–
One of the likeliest scores, picked the way the simulator's dice picks it.
From the match model: each side's attack and defence, rated from this season's results (starting from last season's), and home advantage.
What this result means
NowStoke win1–0Draw1–1Derby win1–2
Stoke: Promotion
2%3%+1 pt2%±01%−1 ptDerby: Relegation
61%65%+4 pts60%−1 pt50%−11 pts
Each result played out over 10,000 simulated seasons, with its likeliest score; every other game is simulated the same way each time, so the change is this result's alone.