Derby Countyvs
West Ham United
Prediction, odds and simulated scores · Championship · Matchday 42
Pride Park
Prediction
Derby win
21%
Draw
21%
West Ham win
57%
Expected goals
Derby1.29 – 2.19West Ham
Most likely scores
- 1–210%
- 1–19%
- 0–27%
- 1–37%
- 2–26%
Roll a likely score
–
One of the likeliest scores, picked the way the simulator's dice picks it.
From the match model: each side's attack and defence, rated from this season's results (starting from last season's), and home advantage.
What this result means
NowDerby win2–1Draw1–1West Ham win1–2
Derby: Relegation
60%50%−10 pts59%−1 pt64%+4 ptsWest Ham: Promotion
37%28%−9 pts32%−5 pts41%+4 ptsWest Ham: Title
17%11%−6 pts14%−3 pts20%+3 pts
Each result played out over 10,000 simulated seasons, with its likeliest score; every other game is simulated the same way each time, so the change is this result's alone.