Süper Lig title odds after Matchday 9

After the games up to 26 October 2026

Galatasaray lead the title race at 50%. Galatasaray 2–1 Fenerbahce moved the odds the most.

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Galatasaray41%50%+9 pts
Trabzonspor21%24%+3 pts
Besiktas5%6%+1 pt

Down

Fenerbahce32%19%−13 pts

Galatasaray beat Fenerbahce 2–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 41% to 50%. Fenerbahce lost 2–1 at Galatasaray, and their title chances fell from 32% to 19%. Galatasaray lead the title race at 50%.

Champions League

Galatasaray70%78%+8 pts
Trabzonspor48%54%+6 pts
Besiktas14%18%+4 pts

Down

Fenerbahce62%46%−16 pts
Istanbul BB2%1%−1 pt

Galatasaray beat Fenerbahce 2–1 at home, and their Champions League chances rose from 70% to 78%. Fenerbahce lost 2–1 at Galatasaray, and their Champions League chances fell from 62% to 46%.

Relegation

Gaziantep27%46%+19 pts
Samsunspor55%64%+9 pts
Genclerbirli32%40%+8 pts

Down

Erzurum33%13%−20 pts
Konyaspor34%18%−16 pts
Kocaelispor4%1%−3 pts

Gaziantep lost 3–1 to Erzurum at home, and their relegation chances rose from 27% to 46%. Erzurum won 3–1 at Gaziantep, and their relegation chances fell from 33% to 13%.

Changes since Matchday 8, in points of percentage.

Result of the round

Galatasaray

2–1

Fenerbahce

Galatasaray 2–1 Fenerbahce moved the odds the most. Galatasaray beat Fenerbahce 2–1 at home, and their title chances rose from 41% to 50%. Fenerbahce lost 2–1 at Galatasaray, and their Champions League chances fell from 62% to 46%.

Match preview

The game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.

The title race

Galatasaray
Trabzonspor
Fenerbahce
Besiktas
Amed SFK

Show as a table

Round	Galatasaray	Trabzonspor	Fenerbahce	Besiktas	Amed SFK
1	37%	7%	21%	10%	<1%
2	55%	10%	20%	3%	0%
3	53%	3%	31%	7%	<1%
4	65%	9%	12%	12%	<1%
5	69%	4%	9%	18%	<1%
6	43%	13%	29%	12%	1%
7	40%	18%	30%	10%	1%
8	41%	21%	32%	5%	<1%
9	50%	24%	19%	6%	1%

The top five clubs' title chances after each round.

Every club's chances

#	Club	Pts	TitleTitle	Champions LeagueChampions League	RelegationRelegation
1	GalatasarayGalatasaray	22	50%+9 pts	78%+8 pts	0%±0
2	Amed SFKAmed SFK	20	1%+1 pt	3%+1 pt	<1%±0
3	TrabzonsporTrabzonspor	19	24%+3 pts	54%+6 pts	0%±0
4	BesiktasBesiktas	18	6%+1 pt	18%+4 pts	0%±0
5	FenerbahceFenerbahce	16	19%−13 pts	46%−16 pts	0%±0
6	KasimpasaKasimpasa	16	<1%±0	<1%±0	1%−1 pt
7	KocaelisporKocaelispor	15	<1%±0	<1%±0	1%−3 pts
8	ErzurumErzurum BB	14	0%±0	0%±0	13%−20 pts
9	Çorum FKÇorum FK	13	0%±0	<1%±0	3%+1 pt
10	GoztepeGoztepe	12	<1%±0	<1%±0	1%−1 pt
11	AlanyasporAlanyaspor	12	0%±0	<1%±0	4%+2 pts
12	Istanbul BBIstanbul Basaksehir	11	<1%±0	1%−1 pt	<1%±0
13	Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor	10	0%±0	0%±0	11%+3 pts
14	KonyasporKonyaspor	8	0%±0	0%±0	18%−16 pts
15	GaziantepGaziantep FK	8	0%±0	0%±0	46%+19 pts
16	GenclerbirliGenclerbirligi	8	0%±0	0%±0	40%+8 pts
17	SamsunsporSamsunspor	4	0%±0	0%±0	64%+9 pts
18	EyupsporEyupspor	3	0%±0	0%±0	98%±0

Chances after Matchday 9, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 8 below each.

Round	Galatasaray	Trabzonspor	Fenerbahce	Besiktas	Amed SFK
1	37%	7%	21%	10%	<1%
2	55%	10%	20%	3%	0%
3	53%	3%	31%	7%	<1%
4	65%	9%	12%	12%	<1%
5	69%	4%	9%	18%	<1%
6	43%	13%	29%	12%	1%
7	40%	18%	30%	10%	1%
8	41%	21%	32%	5%	<1%
9	50%	24%	19%	6%	1%

Round	Galatasaray	Trabzonspor	Fenerbahce	Besiktas	Amed SFK
1	37%	7%	21%	10%	<1%
2	55%	10%	20%	3%	0%
3	53%	3%	31%	7%	<1%
4	65%	9%	12%	12%	<1%
5	69%	4%	9%	18%	<1%
6	43%	13%	29%	12%	1%
7	40%	18%	30%	10%	1%
8	41%	21%	32%	5%	<1%
9	50%	24%	19%	6%	1%

Biggest risers and fallers

Title

Champions League

Relegation

Result of the round

The title race

Every club's chances

All reports this season

Round	Galatasaray	Trabzonspor	Fenerbahce	Besiktas	Amed SFK
1	37%	7%	21%	10%	<1%
2	55%	10%	20%	3%	0%
3	53%	3%	31%	7%	<1%
4	65%	9%	12%	12%	<1%
5	69%	4%	9%	18%	<1%
6	43%	13%	29%	12%	1%
7	40%	18%	30%	10%	1%
8	41%	21%	32%	5%	<1%
9	50%	24%	19%	6%	1%