Süper Lig title odds after Matchday 3
After the games up to 31 August 2026
Galatasaray lead the title race at 53%. Amed SFK 2–1 Trabzonspor moved the odds the most.
Biggest risers and fallers
Title
Up
Fenerbahce20%31%+11 pts
Besiktas3%7%+4 pts
Down
Trabzonspor10%3%−7 pts
Istanbul BB9%4%−5 pts
Galatasaray55%53%−2 pts
Fenerbahce won 2–0 at Samsunspor, and their title chances rose from 20% to 31%. Trabzonspor lost 2–1 at Amed SFK, and their title chances fell from 10% to 3%. Galatasaray lead the title race at 53%.
Champions League
Up
- Fenerbahce45%63%+18 pts
- Besiktas12%21%+9 pts
- Galatasaray77%79%+2 pts
Down
- Trabzonspor26%12%−14 pts
- Istanbul BB25%16%−9 pts
Samsunspor5%2%−3 pts
Fenerbahce won 2–0 at Samsunspor, and their Champions League chances rose from 45% to 63%. Trabzonspor lost 2–1 at Amed SFK, and their Champions League chances fell from 26% to 12%.
Relegation
Down
Eyupspor51%35%−16 pts
Amed SFK32%17%−15 pts
Kocaelispor20%10%−10 pts
Çorum FK lost 6–2 at Besiktas, and their relegation chances rose from 41% to 57%. Eyupspor beat Alanyaspor 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 51% to 35%.
Changes since Matchday 2, in points of percentage.
Result of the round
Amed SFK 2–1 Trabzonspor moved the odds the most. Amed SFK beat Trabzonspor 2–1 at home, and their relegation chances fell from 32% to 17%. Trabzonspor lost 2–1 at Amed SFK, and their Champions League chances fell from 26% to 12%.
Match previewThe game whose two clubs' chances changed the most since the last round.
The title race
- Galatasaray
- Fenerbahce
- Besiktas
- Istanbul BB
- Trabzonspor
Show as a table
| Round | Galatasaray | Fenerbahce | Besiktas | Istanbul BB | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37% | 21% | 10% | 20% | 7% |
| 2 | 55% | 20% | 3% | 9% | 10% |
| 3 | 53% | 31% | 7% | 4% | 3% |
The top five clubs' title chances after each round.
Every club's chances
| # | Club | Pts | TitleTitle | Champions LeagueChampions League | RelegationRelegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 7 | 53%−2 pts | 79%+2 pts | 0%±0 |
| 2 |  GenclerbirliGenclerbirligi | 7 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−2 pts | 5%+2 pts |
| 3 | KocaelisporKocaelispor | 6 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 10%−10 pts |
| 4 | BesiktasBesiktas | 6 | 7%+4 pts | 21%+9 pts | <1%±0 |
| 5 | FenerbahceFenerbahce | 6 | 31%+11 pts | 63%+18 pts | <1%±0 |
| 6 | Amed SFKAmed SFK | 6 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 17%−15 pts |
| 7 |  Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor | 6 | <1%±0 | 1%+1 pt | 6%−5 pts |
| 8 |  KasimpasaKasimpasa | 5 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 14%−1 pt |
| 9 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 4 | 3%−7 pts | 12%−14 pts | <1%±0 |
| 10 |  AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 4 | <1%−1 pt | 1%−2 pts | 5%+2 pts |
| 11 |  GaziantepGaziantep FK | 4 | <1%±0 | <1%−1 pt | 23%+11 pts |
| 12 | Istanbul BBIstanbul Basaksehir | 4 | 4%−5 pts | 16%−9 pts | <1%±0 |
| 13 | SamsunsporSamsunspor | 4 | 1%±0 | 2%−3 pts | 4%+3 pts |
| 14 | EyupsporEyupspor | 3 | <1%±0 | <1%±0 | 35%−16 pts |
| 15 |  GoztepeGoztepe | 1 | <1%−1 pt | 2%−1 pt | 4%±0 |
| 16 |  Çorum FKÇorum FK | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 57%+16 pts |
| 17 |  ErzurumErzurum BB | 1 | 0%±0 | 0%±0 | 78%−1 pt |
| 18 |  KonyasporKonyaspor | 0 | 0%±0 | <1%±0 | 42%+15 pts |
Chances after Matchday 3, from 10,000 simulated seasons; the change since Matchday 2 below each.